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相关论文: Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting: A Benc…

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Convective storm nowcasting has attracted substantial attention in various fields. Existing methods under a deep learning framework rely primarily on radar data. Although they perform nowcast storm advection well, it is still challenging to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Wei Zhang , Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Hanyang Guo , Jie Dai

Severe convection produces localized hazards that often require warnings before radar echoes fully reveal storm development. Convective initiation and the maintenance of intense convection remain challenging for radar-only nowcasting…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Lei Chen , Zijian Zhu , Xiaoran Zhuang , Tianyuan Qi , Yuxuan Feng , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Accurate forecasting of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or storms is critical for risk management and disaster mitigation. Although high-resolution radar observations have spurred extensive research on nowcasting models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Changhoon Song , Teng Yuan Chang , Youngjoon Hong

Precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity over a short period of time, which mainly relies on the prediction of radar echo sequences. Though convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Ziao Yang , Xiangrui Yang , Qifeng Lin

In this research paper, we study the capability of artificial neural network models to emulate storm surge based on the storm track/size/intensity history, leveraging a database of synthetic storm simulations. Traditionally, Computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-21 Ehsan Adeli , Luning Sun , Jianxun Wang , Alexandros A. Taflanidis

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge, we learn the traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-06 Zhiyong Cui , Kristian Henrickson , Ruimin Ke , Ziyuan Pu , Yinhai Wang

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

We introduce MinConvLSTM and MinConvGRU, two novel spatiotemporal models that combine the spatial inductive biases of convolutional recurrent networks with the training efficiency of minimal, parallelizable RNNs. Our approach extends the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Coşku Can Horuz , Sebastian Otte , Martin V. Butz , Matthias Karlbauer

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…

A deep learning model is presented to nowcast the occurrence of lightning at a five-minute time resolution 60 minutes into the future. The model is based on a recurrent-convolutional architecture that allows it to recognize and predict the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Urs Germann

High-resolution rainfall observations are crucial for weather forecasting, water management, and hazard mitigation. Traditional operational measurements are often biased and low-resolution, limiting their ability to capture local rainfall.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-25 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Kijung Shin

Deep learning models for precipitation forecasting often function as black boxes, limiting their adoption in real-world weather prediction. To enhance transparency while maintaining accuracy, we developed an interpretable deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Tanmay Ghosh , Shaurabh Anand , Rakesh Gomaji Nannewar , Nithin Nagaraj

Precipitation nowcasting is a short-range forecast of rain/snow (up to 2 hours), often displayed on top of the geographical map by the weather service. Modern precipitation nowcasting algorithms rely on the extrapolation of observations by…

This work introduces GPTCast, a generative deep-learning method for ensemble nowcast of radar-based precipitation, inspired by advancements in large language models (LLMs). We employ a GPT model as a forecaster to learn spatiotemporal…

Convection (thunderstorm) develops rapidly within hours and is highly destructive, posing a significant challenge for nowcasting and resulting in substantial losses to infrastructure and society. After the emergence of artificial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Kuai Dai , Xutao Li , Junying Fang , Yunming Ye , Demin Yu , Hui Su , Di Xian , Danyu Qin , Jingsong Wang

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

In recent years traditional numerical methods for accurate weather prediction have been increasingly challenged by deep learning methods. Numerous historical datasets used for short and medium-range weather forecasts are typically organized…