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Delayed-acceptance is a technique for reducing computational effort for Bayesian models with expensive likelihoods. Using a delayed-acceptance kernel for Markov chain Monte Carlo can reduce the number of expensive likelihoods evaluations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , Anthony Lee , Christopher Drovandi

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for estimating parameters of expensive simulation models, particularly in settings where the likelihood is intractable and evaluations are costly. In stochastic models every simulation is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens , Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , David O'Gara , Jonathan Ozik

The surrogate-assisted optimization algorithm is a promising approach for solving expensive multi-objective optimization problems. However, most existing surrogate-assisted multi-objective optimization algorithms have three main drawbacks:…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-11-06 Xi Lin , Hui-Ling Zhen , Zhenhua Li , Qingfu Zhang , Sam Kwong

We describe an "embarrassingly parallel" method for Bayesian phylogenetic inference, annealed Sequential Monte Carlo, based on recent advances in the Sequential Monte Carlo literature such as adaptive determination of annealing parameters.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-03-15 Liangliang Wang , Shijia Wang , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté

Phylogenetic trees are simple models of evolutionary processes. They describe conditionally independent divergent evolution of taxa from common ancestors. Phylogenetic trees commonly do not have enough flexibility to adequately model all…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-11 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Barbara R. Holland

Phylogenetic networks generalise phylogenetic trees and allow for the accurate representation of the evolutionary history of a set of present-day species whose past includes reticulate events such as hybridisation and lateral gene transfer.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-09-05 Joan Carles Pons , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

Phylogenetics, the inference of evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data such as DNA, is an enterprise that yields valuable evolutionary understanding of many biological systems. Bayesian phylogenetic algorithms, which approximate a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-10-27 Vu Dinh , Aaron E. Darling , Frederick A. Matsen

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Surrogate models are used to reduce the burden of expensive-to-evaluate objective functions in optimization. By creating models which map genomes to objective values, these models can estimate the performance of unknown inputs, and so be…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-07-17 Alexander Hagg , Martin Zaefferer , Jörg Stork , Adam Gaier

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

We provide novel theoretical insights on structured prediction in the context of efficient convex surrogate loss minimization with consistency guarantees. For any task loss, we construct a convex surrogate that can be optimized via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-30 Anton Osokin , Francis Bach , Simon Lacoste-Julien

This work proposes an adaptive sequential Monte Carlo sampling algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems in scenarios where likelihood evaluations are costly but can be approximated using a surrogate model built from previous evaluations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Frederic Cerou , Patrick Heas , Mathias Rousset

Data-driven optimization has found many successful applications in the real world and received increased attention in the field of evolutionary optimization. Most existing algorithms assume that the data used for optimization is always…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Jinjin Xu , Yaochu Jin , Wenli Du

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

The purpose of this paper is twofold. On one side, we present a general framework for Bayesian optimization and we compare it with some related fields in active learning and Bayesian numerical analysis. On the other hand, Bayesian…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-02-13 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs) are often challenging to apply in real-world settings since evolutionary computations involve a large number of evaluations of a typically expensive fitness function. For example, an evaluation could involve…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Mohammed Ghaith Altarabichi , Sławomir Nowaczyk , Sepideh Pashami , Peyman Sheikholharam Mashhadi

Using Neuroevolution combined with Novelty Search to promote behavioural diversity is capable of constructing high-performing ensembles for classification. However, using gradient descent to train evolved architectures during the search can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Rui P. Cardoso , Emma Hart , David Burth Kurka , Jeremy V. Pitt

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-07 Miklos Bona , Philippe Flajolet

Solving inverse problems in cardiovascular modeling is particularly challenging due to the high computational cost of running high-fidelity simulations. In this work, we focus on Bayesian parameter estimation and explore different methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Chloe H. Choi , Andrea Zanoni , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Alison L. Marsden