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This paper derives an objective Bayesian "prior" based on considerations of entropy/information. By this means, it produces a quantitative measure of goodness of fit (the "H-statistic") that balances higher likelihood against the number of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Rafael D. Sorkin

This paper develops a general methodology to conduct statistical inference for observations indexed by multiple sets of entities. We propose a novel multiway empirical likelihood statistic that converges to a chi-square distribution under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan

The parametric bootstrap can be used for the efficient computation of Bayes posterior distributions. Importance sampling formulas take on an easy form relating to the deviance in exponential families and are particularly simple starting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Bradley Efron

The unprecedented amount of scientific data has introduced heavy pressure on the current data storage and transmission systems. Progressive compression has been proposed to mitigate this problem, which offers data access with on-demand…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Xuan Wu , Qian Gong , Jieyang Chen , Qing Liu , Norbert Podhorszki , Xin Liang , Scott Klasky

Performing exact inference on Bayesian networks is known to be #P-hard. Typically approximate inference techniques are used instead to sample from the distribution on query variables given the values $e$ of evidence variables. Classically,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-10-02 Guang Hao Low , Theodore J. Yoder , Isaac L. Chuang

Despite the popular of multimodal statistical models, there lacks rigorous statistical inference tools for inferring the significance of a single modality within a multimodal model, especially in high-dimensional models. For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Wanting Jin , Guorong Wu , Quefeng Li

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

An exciting branch of machine learning research focuses on methods for learning, optimizing, and integrating unknown functions that are difficult or costly to evaluate. A popular Bayesian approach to this problem uses a Gaussian process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Anqi Wu , Mikio C. Aoi , Jonathan W. Pillow

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-15 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

A new method for multinomial inference is proposed by representing the cell probabilities as unordered segments on the unit interval and following Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. The resulting DS posterior is then strengthened to improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Earl C. Lawrence , Alexander C. Murph , Scott A. Vander Wiel , Chaunhai Liu

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inference when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Giuseppe Alfonzetti , Ruggero Bellio , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

In this paper, we focus on distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear quantile regression. Quantile regression is a popular alternative tool to the least squares regression for robustness against outliers and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Caixing Wang , Ziliang Shen