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Accurate short-term forecasting of air temperature and relative humidity is critical for urban management, especially in topographically complex cities such as Chongqing, China. This study compares seven machine learning models: eXtreme…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Jiaqi Dong

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Boosting is a method for learning a single accurate predictor by linearly combining a set of less accurate weak learners. Recently, structured learning has found many applications in computer vision. Inspired by structured support vector…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Chunhua Shen , Guosheng Lin , Anton van den Hengel

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing significant challenges for power distribution systems. In response, this work presents a planning approach in order to enhance the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-01 Ahmad Bin Afzal , Nabil Mohammed , Shehab Ahmed , Charalambos Konstantinou

Long-term planning of a robust power system requires the understanding of changing demand patterns. Electricity demand is highly weather sensitive. Thus, the supply side variation from introducing intermittent renewable sources, juxtaposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Reshmi Ghosh , Michael Craig , H. Scott Matthews , Constantine Samaras , Laure Berti-Equille

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

This paper investigates the integration of machine learning forecasts of intervention durations into a stochastic variant of the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (CVRPTW). In particular, we exploit tree-based gradient…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-13 Matteo Garbelli

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Electric vehicles can offer a low carbon emission solution to reverse rising emission trends. However, this requires that the energy used to meet the demand is green. To meet this requirement, accurate forecasting of the charging demand is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Inon Peled , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Multi-step time-series prediction is an essential supportive step for decision-makers in several industrial areas. Artificial intelligence techniques, which use a neural network component in various forms, have recently frequently been used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Xinbo Yub , Wei He

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

The decarbonisation of heat in developed economies represents a significant challenge, with increased penetration of electrical heating technologies potentially leading to unprecedented increases in peak electricity demand. This work…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-26 Matthew Deakin , Sarah Sheehy , David M. Greenwood , Sara Walker , Phil C. Taylor

Multivariate time series prediction has attracted a lot of attention because of its wide applications such as intelligence transportation, AIOps. Generative models have achieved impressive results in time series modeling because they can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Tong Zhou , Yufeng Zhan , Yuanqing Xia

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Gradient boosted trees are competition-winning, general-purpose, non-parametric regressors, which exploit sequential model fitting and gradient descent to minimize a specific loss function. The most popular implementations are tailored to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

There is a strong need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to deal with climate change. In the power sector, changing the power generation method in the medium and long term is needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This paper proposes a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-20 Shintaro Negishi

India is expected to witness rapid growth in electricity use over the next two decades. Here, we introduce a custom regression model to project electricity consumption in India over the coming decades, which includes a bottom-up estimate of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-11 Marc Barbar , Dharik Mallapragada , Meia Alsup , Robert Stoner

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo