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To most applied statisticians, a fitting procedure's degrees of freedom is synonymous with its model complexity, or its capacity for overfitting to data. In particular, it is often used to parameterize the bias-variance tradeoff in model…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Lucas Janson , William Fithian , Trevor Hastie

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

Deriving analytical expressions of dielectric permittivities is required for numerical and physical modeling of optical systems and the soar of non-hermitian photonics motivates their prolongation in the complex plane. Analytical models are…

光学 · 物理学 2024-02-27 Isam Ben Soltane , Félice Dierick , Brian Stout , Nicolas Bonod

We propose and discuss sensitivity metrics for reliability analysis, which are based on the value of information. These metrics are easier to interpret than other existing sensitivity metrics in the context of a specific decision and they…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-03 Daniel Straub , Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou

Fitting mixed models to complex survey data is a challenging problem. Most methods in the literature, including the most widely used one, require a close relationship between the model structure and the survey design. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-23 Thomas Lumley , Xudong Huang

The aim of this work is to show, based on concrete data observation, that the choice of the fractional derivative when modelling a problem is relevant for the accuracy of a method. Using the least squares fitting technique, we determine the…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Ricardo Almeida

We consider fits to two or more datasets for which results from the sa me experiment share a common systematic uncertainty in addition to their individ ual statistical errors. This is important in extracting the maximum information from a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-09-29 Roger John Barlow

In high dimensional analysis, effects of explanatory variables on responses sometimes rely on certain exposure variables, such as time or environmental factors. In this paper, to characterize the importance of each predictor, we utilize its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-11 Yeqing Zhou , Jingyuan Liu , Zhihui Hao , Liping Zhu

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Fitting models for non-Poisson point processes is complicated by the lack of tractable models for much of the data. By using large samples of independent and identically distributed realizations and statistical learning, it is possible to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-12-04 Jeffrey Picka , Mingxia Deng

We describe a method of extrapolation based on a "truncated" Kramers-Kronig relation for the complex permittivity ($\epsilon$) and permeability ($\mu$) parameters of a material, based on finite frequency data. Considering a few assumptions,…

材料科学 · 物理学 2015-08-13 Christine C. Dantas , Mirabel. C. Rezende , Simone S. Pinto

We propose a restrictiveness measure for economic models based on how well they fit synthetic data from a pre-defined class. This measure, together with a measure for how well the model fits real data, outlines a Pareto frontier, where…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-25 Drew Fudenberg , Wayne Gao , Annie Liang

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

Much of scientific data is collected as randomized experiments intervening on some and observing other variables of interest. Quite often, a given phenomenon is investigated in several studies, and different sets of variables are involved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Antti Hyttinen , Frederick Eberhardt , Patrik O. Hoyer

We analyze the trade-off between model complexity and accuracy for random forests by breaking the trees up into individual classification rules and selecting a subset of them. We show experimentally that already a few rules are sufficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Michael Rapp , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

When reading peer-reviewed scientific literature describing any analysis of empirical data, it is natural and correct to proceed with the underlying assumption that experiments have made good faith efforts to ensure that their analyses…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-09-13 S. Towers

For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Peng Ding , Luke W. Miratrix

The mathematical models used to capture features of complex, biological systems are typically non-linear, meaning that there are no generally valid simple relationships between their outputs and the data that might be used to validate them.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-04-23 Thomas House