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We want to recover the regression function in the single-index model. Using an aggregation algorithm with local polynomial estimators, we answer in particular to the second part of Question~2 from Stone (1982) on the optimal convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-04 Stéphane Gaïffas , Guillaume Lecué

When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

We consider the problem of repetitive scenario design where one has to solve repeatedly a scenario design problem and can adjust the sample size (number of scenarios) to obtain a desired level of risk (constraint violation probability). We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-08 Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

Hacks are one of the most damaging types of cryptocurrency related crime, accounting for billions of dollars in stolen funds since 2009. Professional investigators at Chainalysis have traced these stolen funds from the initial breach on an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-30 Daniel Goldsmith , Kim Grauer , Yonah Shmalo

An enormous volume of security-relevant information is present on the Web, for instance in the content produced each day by millions of bloggers worldwide, but discovering and making sense of these data is very challenging. This paper…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-01-01 Kristin Glass , Richard Colbaugh

Information spreads across social and technological networks, but often the network structures are hidden from us and we only observe the traces left by the diffusion processes, called cascades. Can we recover the hidden network structures…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-05-14 Hadi Daneshmand , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez , Le Song , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Intrusion Detection Systems are an important component of many organizations' cyber defense and resiliency strategies. However, one downside of these systems is their reliance on known attack signatures for detection of malicious network…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Taylor Bradley , Elie Alhajjar , Nathaniel Bastian

A challenge for data imputation is the lack of knowledge. In this paper, we attempt to address this challenge by involving extra knowledge from web. To achieve high-performance web-based imputation, we use the dependency, i.e.FDs and CFDs,…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Yiwen Tang , Hongzhi Wang , Shiwei Zhang , Huijun Zhang , Ruoxi Shi

In this paper we present a new algorithm for online (sequential) inference in Bayesian neural networks, and show its suitability for tackling contextual bandit problems. The key idea is to combine the extended Kalman filter (which locally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Gerardo Duran-Martin , Aleyna Kara , Kevin Murphy

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

Reinforcement learning addresses the dilemma between exploration to find profitable actions and exploitation to act according to the best observations already made. Bandit problems are one such class of problems in stateless environments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Ananda Narayanan B , Balaraman Ravindran

There are some real life issues that are exists in nature which has early failure. This type of problems can be modelled either by a complex distribution having more than one parameter or by finite mixture of some distribution. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-30 Brijesh P. Singh , Utpal Dhar Das , Sandeep Singh

A burgeoning paradigm in algorithm design is the field of algorithms with predictions, in which algorithms can take advantage of a possibly-imperfect prediction of some aspect of the problem. While much work has focused on using predictions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Mikhail Khodak , Maria-Florina Balcan , Ameet Talwalkar , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Websites, as essential digital assets, are highly vulnerable to cyberattacks because of their high traffic volume and the significant impact of breaches. This study aims to enhance the identification of web traffic attacks by leveraging…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Daniel Urda , Branly Martínez , Nuño Basurto , Meelis Kull , Ángel Arroyo , Álvaro Herrero

Link prediction is one of the fundamental research problems in network analysis. Intuitively, it involves identifying the edges that are most likely to be added to a given network, or the edges that appear to be missing from the network…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-09-10 Marcin Waniek , Kai Zhou , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik , Esteban Moro , Tomasz P. Michalak , Talal Rahwan

Every organism in an environment, whether biological, robotic or virtual, must be able to predict certain aspects of its environment in order to survive or perform whatever task is intended. It needs a model that is capable of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-11-12 Stefan Richthofer , Laurenz Wiskott

Mode estimation is a classical problem in statistics with a wide range of applications in machine learning. Despite this, there is little understanding in its robustness properties under possibly adversarial data contamination. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-09 Aldo Pacchiano , Heinrich Jiang , Michael I. Jordan

This study evaluates the application of predictive analytics for real-time cyber-attack detection and response, focusing on how statistical and machine learning methods can improve decision-making in Security Operations Centers (SOCs).…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Muhammad Danish

In the paper, we consider the problem of link prediction in time-evolving graphs. We assume that certain graph features, such as the node degree, follow a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and we propose to use this information to improve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-09-17 Emile Richard , Stephane Gaiffas , Nicolas Vayatis

In this paper, we explore a method for treating survival analysis as a classification problem. The method uses a "stacking" idea that collects the features and outcomes of the survival data in a large data frame, and then treats it as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani