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We analyze the generalization and robustness of the batched weighted average algorithm for V-geometrically ergodic Markov data. This algorithm is a good alternative to the empirical risk minimization algorithm when the latter suffers from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-08-13 Nguyen Viet Cuong , Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh

We investigate the task of estimating the conditional average causal effect of treatment-dosage pairs from a combination of observational data and assumptions on the causal relationships in the underlying system. This has been a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Alexis Bellot , Anish Dhir , Giulia Prando

Generalized linear mixed models are powerful tools for analyzing clustered data, where the unknown parameters are classically (and most commonly) estimated by the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood procedures. However,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-23 Andrea M. Bratsberg , Magne Thoresen , Abhik Ghosh

Generalized linear models (GLMs) form one of the most popular classes of models in statistics. The gamma variant is used, for instance, in actuarial science for the modelling of claim amounts in insurance. A flaw of GLMs is that they are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Philippe Gagnon , Yuxi Wang

We propose the family of generalized resubstitution classifier error estimators based on empirical measures. These error estimators are computationally efficient and do not require re-training of classifiers. The plain resubstitution error…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Parisa Ghane , Ulisses Braga-Neto

Penalized generalized estimating equations with Elastic Net or L2-Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation penalization are proposed to simultaneously select the most important variables and estimate their effects for longitudinal Gaussian data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-26 Adriaan Blommaert , Niel Hens , Philippe Beutels

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

Consider an ensemble of $k$ individual classifiers whose accuracies are known. Upon receiving a test point, each of the classifiers outputs a predicted label and a confidence in its prediction for this particular test point. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Sascha Meyen , Frieder Göppert , Helen Alber , Ulrike von Luxburg , Volker H. Franz

Regression is typically treated as a curve-fitting process where the goal is to fit a prediction function to data. With the help of conditional generative adversarial networks, we propose to solve this age-old problem in a different way; we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Deddy Jobson , Eddy Hudson

Performative predictions influence the very outcomes they aim to forecast. We study performative predictions that affect a sample (e.g., only existing users of an app) and/or the whole population (e.g., all potential app users). This raises…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Julian Rodemann , Unai Fischer-Abaigar , James Bailie , Krikamol Muandet

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, we propose a new information-theoretic based generalization error upper bound applicable to supervised learning scenarios.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-11 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

One of the major open problems in machine learning is to characterize generalization in the overparameterized regime, where most traditional generalization bounds become inconsistent even for overparameterized linear regression. In many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Jing Xu , Jiaye Teng , Yang Yuan , Andrew Chi-Chih Yao

This paper considers the problem of estimation in the generalized semiparametric model for longitudinal data when the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. A penalization type of generalized estimating equation method is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-09 M. Taavoni , M. Arashi

Generalization in generative modeling is defined as the ability to learn an underlying distribution from a finite dataset and produce novel samples, with evaluation largely driven by held-out performance and perceived sample quality. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Jerome Garnier-Brun , Luca Biggio , Davide Beltrame , Marc Mézard , Luca Saglietti

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

In the regression setting, given a set of hyper-parameters, a model-estimation procedure constructs a model from training data. The optimal hyper-parameters that minimize generalization error of the model are usually unknown. In practice…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Jean Feng , Noah Simon

Analyzing multi-layered graphical models provides insight into understanding the conditional relationships among nodes within layers after adjusting for and quantifying the effects of nodes from other layers. We obtain the penalized maximum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-06 Jiahe Lin , Sumanta Basu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

This study examines the generalization ability of algorithm performance prediction models across various benchmark suites. Comparing the statistical similarity between the problem collections with the accuracy of performance prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Ana Nikolikj , Ana Kostovska , Gjorgjina Cenikj , Carola Doerr , Tome Eftimov

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

A rich literature exists on constructing non-parametric estimators with optimal asymptotic properties. In addition to asymptotic guarantees, it is often of interest to design estimators with desirable finite-sample properties; such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Herbert P. Susmann , Yiting Li , Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco , Wenbo Wu , Iván Díaz