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General Stochastic Hybrid Systems (GSHS) have been formulated to represent various types of uncertainties in hybrid dynamical systems. In this paper, we propose computational techniques for Bayesian estimation of GSHS. In particular, the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-04 Weixin Wang , Taeyoung Lee

With recent advances in sequencing technologies, large amounts of epigenomic data have become available and computational methods are contributing significantly to the progress of epigenetic research. As an orthogonal approach to methods…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2019-11-05 Alexander Lück , Verena Wolf

This work presents a novel method for extracting potential barrier distributions from experimental fusion cross sections. We utilize a simple Gaussian process regression (GPR) framework to model the observed cross sections as a function of…

核理论 · 物理学 2024-06-10 Kyle Godbey

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Many probabilistic models introduce strong dependencies between variables using a latent multivariate Gaussian distribution or a Gaussian process. We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for performing inference in models with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-03-22 Iain Murray , Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

When partitioning workflows in realistic scenarios, the knowledge of the processing units is often vague or unknown. A naive approach to addressing this issue is to perform many controlled experiments for different workloads, each…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2015-11-03 Freddy C. Chua , Bernardo A. Huberman

In this paper, we discuss an extension of the Split Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (Split HMC) method for Gaussian process model (GPM). This method is based on splitting the Hamiltonian in a way that allows much of the movement around the state…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-17 Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

A Gaussian process (GP)-based methodology is proposed to emulate complex dynamical computer models (or simulators). The method relies on emulating the numerical flow map of the system over an initial (short) time step, where the flow map is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Bayesian feature allocation models are a popular tool for modelling data with a combinatorial latent structure. Exact inference in these models is generally intractable and so practitioners typically apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-28 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Andrew Roth

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Identifying the active factors that have significant impacts on the output of the complex system is an important but challenging variable selection problem in computer experiments. In this paper, a Bayesian hierarchical Gaussian process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Xiao Yao , Ning Jianhui , Qin Hong

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-10 Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

We introduce and document a class of probability distributions, called bilateral generalized inverse Gaussian (BGIG) distributions, that are obtained by convolution of two generalized inverse Gaussian distributions supported by the positive…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-16 Gaetano Agazzotti , Jean-Philippe Aguilar

Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

We develop statistical models for samples of distribution-valued stochastic processes featuring time-indexed univariate distributions, with emphasis on functional principal component analysis. The proposed model presents an intrinsic rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Hang Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

In order to improve the performance of Bayesian optimisation, we develop a modified Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) acquisition function. This is done by sampling the exploration-exploitation trade-off parameter from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Julian Berk , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

A Gaussian Process GP based ground segmentation method is proposed in this paper which is fully developed in a probabilistic framework. The proposed method tends to obtain a continuous realistic model of the ground. The LiDAR…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

We introduce a general class of stochastic processes driven by a multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) and study the estimation problems of their pointwise H\"older exponents (PHE) based on a new localized generalized quadratic variation…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Qidi Peng , Ran Zhao