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Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

We study the problem of posterior sampling in discrete-state spaces using discrete diffusion models. While posterior sampling methods for continuous diffusion models have achieved remarkable progress, analogous methods for discrete…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Wenda Chu , Zihui Wu , Yifan Chen , Yang Song , Yisong Yue

Boltzmann sampling is commonly used to uniformly sample objects of a particular size from large combinatorial sets. For this technique to be effective, one needs to prove that (1) the sampling procedure is efficient and (2) objects of the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Megan Bernstein , Matthew Fahrbach , Dana Randall

This paper studies the problem of distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) using total variation distance ambiguity sets. For a discrete-time linear system with additive disturbances, we provide a conditional value-at-risk…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-27 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick

We propose a method for deterministic sampling of arbitrary continuous angular density functions. With deterministic sampling, good estimation results can typically be achieved with much smaller numbers of samples compared to the commonly…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Divide-and-conquer methods use large-sample approximations to provide frequentist guarantees when each block of data is both small enough to facilitate efficient computation and large enough to support approximately valid inferences. When…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Emily C. Hector , Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

It was recently shown that path integral Monte Carlo can be used to directly compute partition functions of Hamiltonians with vibronic coupling [J. Chem. Phys. 148, 194110 (2018)]. While the importance sampling Monte Carlo integration…

化学物理 · 物理学 2019-12-30 Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Neil Raymond , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

We want to approximate general multivariate probability density functions by deterministic sample sets. For optimal sampling, the closeness to the given continuous density has to be assessed. This is a difficult challenge in multivariate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-01 Uwe D. Hanebeck

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

The probabilistic diffusion model has become highly effective across various domains. Typically, sampling from a diffusion model involves using a denoising distribution characterized by a Gaussian with a learned mean and either fixed or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Zijing Ou , Mingtian Zhang , Andi Zhang , Tim Z. Xiao , Yingzhen Li , David Barber

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Ardavan Saeedi , Tejas D Kulkarni , Vikash Mansinghka , Samuel Gershman

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

By recursively solving the underlying Schr\" odinger equation, we set up an efficient systematic approach for deriving analytic expressions for discretized effective actions. With this we obtain discrete short-time propagators for both one…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-08-08 Antun Balaz , Aleksandar Bogojevic , Ivana Vidanovic , Axel Pelster

We benchmark the ZPC parton cascade with an exact analytical solution of the relativistic Boltzmann equation for a homogeneous and massless gas with a constant and isotropic elastic cross section. We measure the accuracy of ZPC with the…

核理论 · 物理学 2025-08-01 Todd Mendenhall , Zi-Wei Lin

We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

Conditional specification of distributions is a developing area with increasing applications. In the finite discrete case, a variety of compatible conditions can be derived. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach to study the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-03 Indranil Ghosh , Saralees Nadarajah

Novel Monte Carlo methods to generate samples from a target distribution, such as a posterior from a Bayesian analysis, have rapidly expanded in the past decade. Algorithms based on Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs),…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Alice Corbella , Simon E F Spencer , Gareth O Roberts

Contrastive Divergence (CD) and Persistent Contrastive Divergence (PCD) are popular methods for training the weights of Restricted Boltzmann Machines. However, both methods use an approximate method for sampling from the model distribution.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-02-17 Mathias Berglund , Tapani Raiko

Distributionally robust control (DRC) aims to effectively manage distributional ambiguity in stochastic systems. While most existing works address inaccurate distributional information in fully observable settings, we consider a partially…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-23 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang