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Asteroids that could collide with the Earth are listed on the publicly available Near-Earth object (NEO) hazard web sites maintained by the US and European space agencies (NASA and ESA). The impact probability distribution of 69 potentially…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-02-21 Clemens Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

Potentially impacting asteroids were analysed for their impact risk on the Earth. To this end, the Asteroid Risk Mitigation Optimization and Research (ARMOR) tool is currently being developed. The tool's modules are described and their…

空间物理 · 物理学 2015-02-23 Clemens Rumpf

An asteroid impact is a low probability event with potentially devastating consequences. The Asteroid Risk Mitigation Optimization and Research (ARMOR) software tool calculates whether a colliding asteroid experiences an airburst or surface…

空间物理 · 物理学 2017-02-21 Clemens M. Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

A set of 50,000 artificial Earth impacting asteroids was used to obtain, for the first time, information about the dominance of individual impact effects such as wind blast, overpressure shock, thermal radiation, cratering, seismic shaking,…

空间物理 · 物理学 2017-03-29 Clemens M. Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

Summary: In the past decade both scientists and laymen have probably heard at least once through the newspapers, TV and Internet that a new asteroid has been discovered with non-zero (sometimes "high") probability of collision with the…

空间物理 · 物理学 2013-04-29 Germano D'Abramo

Hazardous asteroid has been one of the concerns for humankind as fallen asteroid on earth could cost a huge impact on the society.Monitoring these objects could help predict future impact events, but such efforts are hindered by the large…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-05 Thai Duy Quy , Alvin Buana , Josh Lee , Rakha Asyrofi

The interest in the problem of small asteroids observed shortly before a deep close approach or an impact with the Earth has grown a lot in recent years. Since the observational dataset of such objects is very limited, they deserve…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-20 Alessio Del Vigna , Linda Dimare , Davide Bracali Cioci

When an asteroid has a few observations over a short time span the information contained in the observational arc could be so little that a full orbit determination may be not possible. One of the methods developed in recent years to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-11 A. Del Vigna

The catalog of km-sized near-Earth objects (NEOs) is nearly complete. Typical impact monitoring analyses search for possible impacts over the next 100 years and none of the km-sized objects represent an impact threat over that time…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-28 Oscar Fuentes-Muñoz , Daniel J. Scheeres , Davide Farnocchia , Ryan S. Park

The aim is to show that in case of low probability of asteroid collision with Earth, the appropriate selection and weighing of the data are crucial for the impact investigation, and to analyze the impact possibilities using extensive…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Malgorzata Krolikowska , Grzegorz Sitarski , Andrzej M. Soltan

The population of Earth-impacting meteoroids and its size-dependent orbital elements are key to understanding the origin of meteorites and informing on planetary defence efforts. Outstanding questions include the role of collisions in…

This paper presents a robust linear method for impact probability estimation of near-Earth asteroids with the Earth. This method is a significantly modified and improved method, which uses a special curvilinear coordinate system associated…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Dmitrii E. Vavilov

Orbit-determination programs find the orbit solution that best fits a set of observations by minimizing the RMS of the residuals of the fit. For near-Earth asteroids, the uncertainty of the orbit solution may be compatible with trajectories…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-09 Javier Roa , Davide Farnocchia , Steven R. Chesley

We describe systematic ranging, an orbit determination technique especially suitable to assess the near-term Earth impact hazard posed by newly discovered asteroids. For these late warning cases, the time interval covered by the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-07-15 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , M. Micheli

As a complement to experimental and theoretical approaches, numerical modeling has become an important component to study asteroid collisions and impact processes. In the last decade, there have been significant advances in both…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-08-07 Martin Jutzi , Keith Holsapple , Kai Wünneman , Patrick Michel

The space environment around the Earth is populated by more than 130 million objects of 1 mm in size and larger, and future predictions shows that this amount is destined to increase, even if mitigation measures are implemented at a far…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-12-29 Mirko Trisolini , Hugh G. Lewis , Camilla Colombo

We have performed a simulation of a next generation sky survey's (Pan-STARRS 1) efficiency for detecting Earth-impacting asteroids. The steady-state sky-plane distribution of the impactors long before impact is concentrated towards small…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2011-03-31 Peter Vereš , Robert Jedicke , Richard Wainscoat , Mikael Granvik , Steve Chesley , Shinsuke Abe , Larry Denneau , Tommy Grav

We study the evolution of the Earth collision probability of asteroid 2008 TC3 using a short observational arc and small numbers of observations. To assess impact probability, we use techniques that rely on the orbital-element probability…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-11-19 Dagmara Oszkiewicz , Karri Muinonen , Jenni Virtanen , Mikael Granvik , Edward Bowell

With the development of technological progress, mining on asteroids is becoming a reality. This paper focuses on how to distribute asteroid mineral resources in a reasonable way to ensure global equity. To distribute asteroid resources…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Chunyu Sui , Xinrui Li , Yinghang Song , Sirui Huang , Yunpeng Zan

We study the time evolution of the impact probability for synthetic but realistic impacting and close approaching asteroids detected in a simulated all-sky survey. We use the impact probability to calculate the impact warning time as the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-08-26 Peter Vereš , Davide Farnocchia , Robert Jedicke , Federica Spoto
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