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Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

This work presents a methodology to estimate tire parameters and their uncertainty using a Bayesian optimization approach. The literature mainly considers the estimation of tire parameters but lacks an evaluation of the parameter…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Sven Goblirsch , Benedikt Ruhland , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

This paper studies the role played by identification in the Bayesian analysis of statistical and econometric models. First, for unidentified models we demonstrate that there are situations where the introduction of a non-degenerate prior…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-20 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

Variational Bayes (VB) has been used to facilitate the calculation of the posterior distribution in the context of Bayesian inference of the parameters of nonlinear models from data. Previously an analytical formulation of VB has been…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-06 Michael A. Chappell , Martin S. Craig , Mark W. Woolrich

Crystalline phase structure is essential for understanding the performance and properties of a material. Therefore, this study identified and quantified the crystalline phase structure of a sample based on the diffraction pattern observed…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-09-27 Ryo Murakami , Yoshitaka Matsushita , Kenji Nagata , Hayaru Shouno , Hideki Yoshikawa

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

Machine learning has the potential to accelerate materials discovery by accurately predicting materials properties at a low computational cost. However, the model inputs remain a key stumbling block. Current methods typically use…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-01-07 Rhys E. A. Goodall , Alpha A. Lee

Bayesian inverse problems use data to update a prior probability distribution on uncertain parameter values to a posterior distribution. Such problems arise in many structural engineering applications, but computational solution of Bayesian…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-26 Jakob Scheffels , Elizabeth Qian , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

A variational Bayesian inference for measured wave intensity, such as X-ray intensity, is proposed in this paper. The data is popular to obtain information about unobservable features of an object, such as a material sample and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Akinori Asahara , Yoshihiro Osakabe , Yamamoto Mitsuya , Hidekazu Morita

Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Bayesian inference provides a rigorous methodology for estimation and uncertainty quantification of parameters in geophysical forward models. Badlands (basin and landscape dynamics model) is a landscape evolution model that simulates…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-07-06 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , R. Dietmar Müller , Tristan Salles , Sally Cripps

The paper proposes a method of damage detection in elastic materials, which is based on analyzing the time-dependent (dynamic) response of the material excited by an acoustic signal. A case study is presented consisting of experimental…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-24 Michael Oberguggenberger , Martin Schwarz

In this study, a stochastic constitutive modeling approach for elastomeric materials is developed to consider uncertainty in material behavior and its prediction. This effort leads to a demonstration of the deterministic approaches error…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2020-10-27 Aref Ghaderi , Vahid Morovati , Roozbeh Dargazany

Efficiently quantifying predictive uncertainty in medical images remains a challenge. While Bayesian neural networks (BNN) offer predictive uncertainty, they require substantial computational resources to train. Although Bayesian…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Zeinab Abboud , Herve Lombaert , Samuel Kadoury

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

Inferring the mechanical properties of soft tissues from measured deformations is a fundamental challenge in elastography. A rarely examined assumption underlying existing approaches is that the assumed constitutive law correctly describes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Vincent C. Scholz , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang