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Peer-prediction is a mechanism which elicits privately-held, non-variable information from self-interested agents---formally, truth-telling is a strict Bayes Nash equilibrium of the mechanism. The original Peer-prediction mechanism suffers…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Suppose a decision maker wants to predict weather tomorrow by eliciting and aggregating information from crowd. How can the decision maker incentivize the crowds to report their information truthfully? Many truthful peer prediction…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Qishen Han , Sikai Ruan , Yuqing Kong , Ao Liu , Farhad Mohsin , Lirong Xia

The problem of peer prediction is to elicit information from agents in settings without any objective ground truth against which to score reports. Peer prediction mechanisms seek to exploit correlations between signals to align incentives…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-20 Victor Shnayder , Arpit Agarwal , Rafael Frongillo , David C. Parkes

We build a natural connection between the learning problem, co-training, and forecast elicitation without verification (related to peer-prediction) and address them simultaneously using the same information theoretic approach. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-24 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

In many settings, an effective way of evaluating objects of interest is to collect evaluations from dispersed individuals and to aggregate these evaluations together. Some examples are categorizing online content and evaluating student…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-23 Alice Gao , James R. Wright , Kevin Leyton-Brown

We study a problem where a group of agents has to decide how a joint reward should be shared among them. We focus on settings where the share that each agent receives depends on the subjective opinions of its peers concerning that agent's…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-05-23 Arthur Carvalho , Kate Larson

This review article examines the challenge of eliciting truthful information from multiple individuals when such information cannot be verified, a problem known as information elicitation without verification (IEWV). This article reviews…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-09 Niklas Valentin Lehmann

A central question of crowd-sourcing is how to elicit expertise from agents. This is even more difficult when answers cannot be directly verified. A key challenge is that sophisticated agents may strategically withhold effort or information…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-24 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Peer-prediction is a (meta-)mechanism which, given any proper scoring rule, produces a mechanism to elicit privately-held, non-verifiable information from self-interested agents. Formally, truth-telling is a strict Nash equilibrium of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-24 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck , Katrina Ligett

Binary hypothesis testing under the Neyman-Pearson formalism is a statistical inference framework for distinguishing data generated by two different source distributions. Privacy restrictions may require the curator of the data or the data…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-07-05 Jiachun Liao , Lalitha Sankar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Flavio P. Calmon

One of the main notions of information theory is the notion of mutual information in two messages (two random variables in Shannon information theory or two binary strings in algorithmic information theory). The mutual information in $x$…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-06-19 Ilya Razenshteyn

Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Siddarth Srinivasan , Ezra Karger , Michiel Bakker , Yiling Chen

The progress of machine learning over the past decade is undeniable. In retrospect, it is both remarkable and unsettling that this progress was achievable with little to no rigorous theory to guide experimentation. Despite this fact,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Hong Jun Jeon , Benjamin Van Roy

Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

Mutual information between two random variables is a well-studied notion, whose understanding is fairly complete. Mutual information between one random variable and a pair of other random variables, however, is a far more involved notion.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Aobo Lyu , Andrew Clark , Netanel Raviv

Analysis of a probabilistic system often requires to learn the joint probability distribution of its random variables. The computation of the exact distribution is usually an exhaustive precise analysis on all executions of the system. To…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Fabrizio Biondi , Yusuke Kawamoto , Axel Legay , Louis-Marie Traonouez

Modern decision making tools are based on statistical analysis of abundant data, which is often collected by querying multiple individuals. We consider data collection through crowdsourcing, where independent and self-interested agents,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-04-19 Boi Faltings , Radu Jurca , Goran Radanovic

Crowdsourcing is now widely used to replace judgement by an expert authority with an aggregate evaluation from a number of non-experts, in applications ranging from rating and categorizing online content to evaluation of student assignments…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-03-05 Anirban Dasgupta , Arpita Ghosh
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