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Sea surface temperature (SST) variability plays a key role in the global weather and climate system, with phenomena such as El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation regarded as a major source of interannual climate variability at the global scale.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-22 John Taylor , Ming Feng

We present a new clustering algorithm that is based on searching for natural gaps in the components of the lowest energy eigenvectors of the Laplacian of a graph. In comparing the performance of the proposed method with a set of other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-10 W. R. Casper , Balu Nadiga

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic sector, influencing temperature and precipitation across Europe. While the NAO's impact on North Atlantic sea surface temperatures…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-18 Elena Provenzano , Guillaume Gastineau , Carlos Mejia , Didier Swingedouw , Sylvie Thiria

Recent years have seen a growing concern about climate change and its impacts. While Earth System Models (ESMs) can be invaluable tools for studying the impacts of climate change, the complex coupling processes encoded in ESMs and the large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Warren L. Davis , Max Carlson , Irina Tezaur , Diana Bull , Kara Peterson , Laura Swiler

The skill of the statistical as well as physics-based coupled climate models in predicting the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is limited by their inability to represent the observed ENSO nonlinearity. A promising alternative, namely…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-09-11 Shivsai Ajit Dixit , B N Goswami

Climate system teleconnections are crucial for improving climate predictability, but difficult to quantify. Standard approaches to identify teleconnections are often based on correlations between time series. Here we present a novel method…

We construct a network from climate records of different geographical sites in the North Atlantic. A link between two sites represents the cross-correlations between the records of each site. We find that within the different phases of the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 O. Guez , A. Gozolchiani , K. Yamasaki , Y. Berezin , S. Brenner , S. Havlin

Global climate change plays an essential role in our daily life. Mesoscale ocean eddies have a significant impact on global warming, since they affect the ocean dynamics, the energy as well as the mass transports of ocean circulation. From…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-05-16 Katharina Franz , Ribana Roscher , Andres Milioto , Susanne Wenzel , Jürgen Kusche

A regression-based model was previously developed to forecast the total electron content (TEC) at middle latitudes. We present a more sophisticated model using neural networks (NN) instead of linear regression. This regional model prototype…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-06-05 Anna Morozova , Teresa Barata , Tatiana Barlyaeva , Ricardo Gafeira

The El Ni{~n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts profound influence on global climate variability, yet its prediction remains a grand challenge. Recent advances in deep learning have significantly improved forecasting skill, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Yanhai Gan , Yipeng Chen , Ning Li , Xingguo Liu , Junyu Dong , Xianyao Chen

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.

Global climate warming poses a significant challenge to humanity; it is associated with, e.g., rising sea level and declining Arctic sea ice. Increasing extreme events are also considered to be a result of climate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

There has been a large number of reported cases of the occurrence of Zika in different countries in 2016 and it is necessary to develop an early warning system to initiate preventive campaigns against the disease. A potential early warning…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-07-12 Raul Isea

Climate models project an uncertainty range of possible warming scenarios from 1.5 to 5 degree Celsius global temperature increase until 2100, according to the CMIP6 model ensemble. Climate risk management and infrastructure adaptation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-10 Björn Lütjens , Catherine H. Crawford , Mark Veillette , Dava Newman

While deep-learning models have demonstrated skillful El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts up to one year in advance, they are predominantly trained on climate model simulations that provide thousands of years of training data at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Jakob Schloer , Matthew Newman , Jannik Thuemmel , Antonietta Capotondi , Bedartha Goswami

Tipping elements of the Earth system may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at tipping points, resulting in a growing threat to our society. Yet, it is not fully clear how to assess and quantify the influence of a…

The influence of climate variability and global warming on the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TC) is a controversial issue. Existing historical databases on the subject are not fully reliable, but a more fundamental hindrance is the lack…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-10-02 Albert Osso , Alvaro Corral , J. E. Llebot

Many record-breaking climate extremes arise from both greenhouse gas-induced warming and natural climate variability. Marine cloud brightening, a solar geoengineering strategy originally proposed to reduce long-term warming, could…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-06-13 Jessica S. Wan , John T. Fasullo , Nan Rosenbloom , Chih-Chieh Jack Chen , Katharine Ricke

Climate change is a critical issue that will be in the political agenda for the next decades. While it is important for this topic to be discussed at higher levels, it is also of paramount importance that the populations became aware of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Gianpaolo Zammarchi , Paolo Maranzano

Understanding dependence structure among extreme values plays an important role in risk assessment in environmental studies. In this work we propose the $\chi$ network and the annual extremal network for exploring the extremal dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-25 Whitney K. Huang , Daniel S. Cooley , Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Chen Chen , Snigdhansu Chatterjee