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How does network structure affect diffusion? Recent studies suggest that the answer depends on the type of contagion. Complex contagions, unlike infectious diseases (simple contagions), are affected by social reinforcement and homophily.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-11-12 Lilian Weng , Filippo Menczer , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion and links heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or…

数学物理 · 物理学 2012-11-13 Vincenzo Fioriti , Marta Chinnici

Self-supervision may boost model performance in downstream tasks. However, there is no principled way of selecting the self-supervised objectives that yield the most adaptable models. Here, we study this problem on daily time-series data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Piyusha Gade , Raghu Kainkaryam , Filip Jankovic , Luca Foschini

Infectious diseases often spread faster near their peak than would be predicted given early data on transmission. Despite the commonality of this phenomena, there are no known general mechanisms able to cause an exponentially spreading dis-…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2017-07-06 Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

How would admissions look like in a university program for influencers? In the realm of social network analysis, influence maximization and link prediction stand out as pivotal challenges. Influence maximization focuses on identifying a set…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Marina Lin , Laura P. Schaposnik , Raina Wu

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

This paper provides a comprehensive survey of recent advancements in leveraging machine learning techniques, particularly Transformer models, for predicting human mobility patterns during epidemics. Understanding how people move during…

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

The dynamics of individuals is of essential importance for understanding the evolution of social systems. Most existing models assume that individuals in diverse systems, ranging from social networks to e-commerce, all tend to what is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-02-22 Matus Medo , Manuel S. Mariani , An Zeng , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Sleep behavior significantly impacts health and acts as an indicator of physical and mental well-being. Monitoring and predicting sleep behavior with ubiquitous sensors may therefore assist in both sleep management and tracking of related…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Maryam Khalid , Elizabeth B. Klerman , Andrew W. Mchill , Andrew J. K. Phillips , Akane Sano

This survey analyses the role of data-driven methodologies for pandemic modelling and control. We provide a roadmap from the access to epidemiological data sources to the control of epidemic phenomena. We review the available methodologies…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-23 Teodoro Alamo , Daniel G. Reina , Pablo Millán Gata , Victor M. Preciado , Giulia Giordano

Social networks are quickly becoming the primary medium for discussing what is happening around real-world events. The information that is generated on social platforms like Twitter can produce rich data streams for immediate insights into…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-07-26 Mateusz Fedoryszak , Brent Frederick , Vijay Rajaram , Changtao Zhong

Source localization, the act of finding the originator of a disease or rumor in a network, has become an important problem in sociology and epidemiology. The localization is done using the infection state and time of infection of a few…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-02-07 Brunella Spinelli , L. Elisa Celis , Patrick Thiran

Nodes that play strategic roles in networks are called critical or influential nodes. For example, in an epidemic, we can control the infection spread by isolating critical nodes; in marketing, we can use certain nodes as the initial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Zahra Farahi , Ali Kamandi , Rooholah Abedian , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

Using the continuous-time susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks, we investigate the problem of inferring the class of the underlying network when epidemic data is only available at population-level (i.e. the number of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-12-05 F. Di Lauro , J. -C. Croix , M. Dashti , L. Berthouze , I. Z. Kiss

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus