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Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

Under mild conditions, it is shown the strong consistency of the Bayes estimator of the density. Moreover, the Bayes risk (for some common loss functions) of the Bayes estimator of the density (i.e. the posterior predictive density) reaches…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-25 A. G. Nogales

We discuss non-parametric density estimation and regression for astrophysics problems. In particular, we show how to compute non-parametric confidence intervals for the location and size of peaks of a function. We illustrate these ideas…

The probability density function (PDF) associated with a given set of samples is approximated by a piecewise-linear polynomial constructed with respect to a binning of the sample space. The kernel functions are a compactly supported basis…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-04 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

We describe an exact, flexible, and computationally efficient algorithm for a joint estimation of the large-scale structure and its power-spectrum, building on a Gibbs sampling framework and present its implementation ARES (Algorithm for…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-14 J. Jasche , F. S. Kitaura , B. D. Wandelt , T. A. Ensslin

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper concerns estimating a probability density function $f$ based on iid observations from $g(x)=W^{-1} w(x) f(x)$, where the weight function $w$ and the total weight $W=\int w(x) f(x) dx$ may not be known. The length-biased and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Robert M. Mnatsakanov , Frits H. Ruymgaart

Suppose that we wish to estimate a finite-dimensional summary of one or more function-valued features of an underlying data-generating mechanism under a nonparametric model. One approach to estimation is by plugging in flexible estimates of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-28 Hongxiang Qiu , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

This paper introduces a class of k-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) estimators called bipartite plug-in (BPI) estimators for estimating integrals of non-linear functions of a probability density, such as Shannon entropy and R\'enyi entropy. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-28 Kumar Sricharan , Raviv Raich , Alfred O. Hero

In contingency table analysis, one is interested in testing whether a model of interest (e.g., the independent or symmetry model) holds using goodness-of-fit tests. When the null hypothesis where the model is true is rejected, the interest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Tomotaka Momozaki , Koji Cho , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Sadao Tomizawa

A parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of the pdf, yielding estimates that perform…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-31 T. Dudok de Wit , E. Floriani

We derive an adaptive hierarchical method of estimating high dimensional probability density functions. We call this method of density estimation the "adaptive cluster expansion" or ACE for short. We present an application of this approach,…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2010-12-17 Stephen Luttrell

The evaluation of the error to be attributed to cut efficiencies is a common question in the practice of experimental particle physics. Specifically, the need to evaluate the efficiency of the cuts for background removal, when they are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-02-02 Gioacchino Ranucci

Profile likelihood confidence intervals are a robust alternative to Wald's method if the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator are not met. However, the constrained optimization problem defining profile likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-10 Samuel M. Fischer , Mark A. Lewis

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-01 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim