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We propose Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a method for postprocessing the results of model-based clustering. Given a number of competing models, appropriate model summaries are averaged, using the posterior model probabilities, instead…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-01 Niamh Russell , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Adrian E Raftery

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

In this paper, based on a weighted object network, we propose a recommendation algorithm, which is sensitive to the configuration of initial resource distribution. Even under the simplest case with binary resource, the current algorithm has…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-02-14 Tao Zhou , Luo-Luo Jiang , Ri-Qi Su , Yi-Cheng Zhang

This paper tackles the problem of decomposing binary data using matrix factorization. We consider the family of mean-parametrized Bernoulli models, a class of generative models that are well suited for modeling binary data and enables…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-27 Paul Magron , Cédric Févotte

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect probabilistic forecasts. While average performance metrics are typically available, it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To convey…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

With the increasing volume of data in the world, the best approach for learning from this data is to exploit an online learning algorithm. Online ensemble methods are online algorithms which take advantage of an ensemble of classifiers to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-03 Mohammadzaman Zamani , Hamid Beigy , Amirreza Shaban

Users on the internet usually require venues to provide better purchasing recommendations. This can be provided by a reputation system that processes ratings to provide recommendations. The rating aggregation process is a main part of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Ahmad Alqwadri , Mohammad Azzeh , Fadi Almasalha

Estimating mutual information (MI) is a fundamental yet challenging task in data science and machine learning. This work proposes a new estimator for mutual information. Our main discovery is that a preliminary estimate of the data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Yanzhi Chen , Zijing Ou , Adrian Weller , Yingzhen Li

In this paper, we present an improved methodology to compute $\omega$-invariant of numerical semigroup. The approach is based on adapting a recent resolution method for optimizing a linear function over the set of efficient solutions of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-25 Wissem Achour , Djamal Chaabane , Víctor Blanco

It is becoming increasingly common for researchers to consider incorporating external information from large studies to improve the accuracy of statistical inference instead of relying on a modestly sized dataset collected internally. With…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

In this paper a class of bottleneck combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs is discussed. The uncertainty is modeled by specifying a discrete scenario set containing a finite number of cost vectors, called scenarios. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2013-07-19 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We study a nonparametric approach to Bayesian computation via feature means, where the expectation of prior features is updated to yield expected kernel posterior features, based on regression from learned neural net or kernel features of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-11 Liyuan Xu , Yutian Chen , Arnaud Doucet , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we discuss a method to define prior distributions for the threshold of a generalised Pareto distribution, in particular when its applications are directed to heavy-tailed data. We propose to assign prior probabilities to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-06 Cristiano Villa

Data-management-as-a-service systems are increasingly being used in collaborative settings, where multiple users access common datasets. Cloud providers have the choice to implement various optimizations, such as indexing or materialized…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Prasang Upadhyaya , Magdalena Balazinska , Dan Suciu

The availability of public computing resources in the cloud has revolutionized data analysis, but requesting cloud resources often involves complex decisions for consumers. Under the current pricing mechanisms, cloud service providers offer…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2017-06-20 Yue Wang , Alexandra Meliou , Gerome Miklau

Machine learning algorithms dedicated to financial time series forecasting have gained a lot of interest. But choosing between several algorithms can be challenging, as their estimation accuracy may be unstable over time. Online aggregation…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-07 Carl Remlinger , Brière Marie , Alasseur Clémence , Joseph Mikael

Off-policy evaluation methods are important in recommendation systems and search engines, where data collected under an existing logging policy is used to estimate the performance of a new proposed policy. A common approach to this problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-04 Jaron J. R. Lee , David Arbour , Georgios Theocharous

Historical data about disease outcomes can be integrated into the analysis of clinical trials in many ways. We build on existing literature that uses prognostic scores from a predictive model to increase the efficiency of treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-25 David Walsh , Alejandro Schuler , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

The paper deals with a multiobjective combinatorial optimization problem with $K$ linear cost functions. The popular Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) criterion is used to aggregate the cost functions and compute a solution. It is well known…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-04-11 André Chassein , Marc Goerigk , Adam Kasperski , Paweł Zieliński

In this paper, we have studied option pricing methods that are based on a Bayesian Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive (MS-BVAR) process using a risk-neutral valuation approach. A BVAR process, which is a special case of the Bayesian…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Battulga Gankhuu