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This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

In this paper the problem of best linear unbiased estimation is investigated for continuous-time regression models. We prove several general statements concerning the explicit form of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), in particular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

We develop a novel framework to accelerate Gaussian process regression (GPR). In particular, we consider localization kernels at each data point to down-weigh the contributions from other data points that are far away, and we derive the GPR…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Davit Gogolashvili , Bogdan Kozyrskiy , Maurizio Filippone

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is an important type of supervised machine learning model with inherent uncertainty measure in its predictions. We propose a new framework, nuGPR, to address the well-known challenge of high computation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Ziqi Zhao , Vivek Sarin

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been a well-known machine learning method for various applications such as uncertainty quantifications (UQ). However, GPR is inherently a data-driven method, which requires sufficiently large dataset.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Cheng Chang , Tieyong Zeng

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Probabilistic models are often used to make predictions in regions of the data space where no observations are available, but it is not always clear whether such predictions are well-informed by previously seen data. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Tong Chen , Petar Djuric

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Michael A. Finegold , Mathias Drton

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a powerful and elegant method for learning complex functions from noisy data with a wide range of applications, including in safety-critical domains. Such applications have two key features: (i) they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Robert Reed , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

Linear regression estimators are known to be sensitive to outliers, and one alternative to obtain a robust and efficient estimator of the regression parameter is to model the error with Student's $t$ distribution. In this article, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Amanda Ng , Shangkai Zhu , Archer Gong Zhang , Nancy Reid

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

Gaussian process (GP) is a Bayesian model which provides several advantages for regression tasks in machine learning such as reliable quantitation of uncertainty and improved interpretability. Their adoption has been precluded by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-26 Jonathan Parkinson , Wei Wang

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Model mis-specification (e.g. the presence of outliers) is commonly encountered in astronomical analyses, often requiring the use of ad hoc algorithms which are sensitive to arbitrary thresholds (e.g. sigma-clipping). For any given dataset,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-09-03 William Martin , Daniel J. Mortlock

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

Feed-forward neural networks (NN) are a staple machine learning method widely used in many areas of science and technology. While even a single-hidden layer NN is a universal approximator, its expressive power is limited by the use of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Sergei Manzhos , Manabu Ihara

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Resonances in open quantum systems depending on at least two controllable parameters can show the phenomenon of exceptional points (EPs), where not only the eigenvalues but also the eigenvectors of two or more resonances coalesce. Their…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-03-14 Patrick Egenlauf , Patric Rommel , Jörg Main