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TSCI implements treatment effect estimation from observational data under invalid instruments in the R statistical computing environment. Existing instrumental variable approaches rely on arguably strong and untestable identification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-04 David Carl , Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann , Zijian Guo

The identification of the network effect is based on either group size variation, the structure of the network or the relative position in the network. I provide easy-to-verify necessary conditions for identification of undirected network…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-19 Guy Tchuente

We offer straightforward theoretical results that justify incorporating machine learning in the standard linear instrumental variable setting. The key idea is to use machine learning, combined with sample-splitting, to predict the treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-22 Jiafeng Chen , Daniel L. Chen , Greg Lewis

The instrumental variable method consistently estimates the effect of a treatment when there is unmeasured confounding and a valid instrumental variable. A valid instrumental variable is a variable that is independent of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-03 Zijian Guo , Dylan Small

Many empirical applications estimate causal effects of a continuous endogenous variable (treatment) using a binary instrument. Estimation is typically done through linear 2SLS. This approach requires a mean treatment change and causal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-28 Yingying Dong , Ying-Ying Lee

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

This paper studies estimation of linear panel regression models with heterogeneous coefficients, when both the regressors and the residual contain a possibly common, latent, factor structure. Our theory is (nearly) efficient, because based…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-03-01 Marco Avarucci , Paolo Zaffaroni

Researchers often use instrumental variables (IV) models to investigate the causal relationship between an endogenous variable and an outcome while controlling for covariates. When an exogenous variable is unavailable to serve as the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-18 Moses Stewart

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

Causal mediation analysis aims to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects under clearly specified assumptions. Traditional mediation analysis based on Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) relies on the absence of unmeasured causes of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-07 Cedric E. Ginestet , Richard Emsley , Sabine Landau

To estimate the causal effect of an endogenous treatment using clustered data, the canonical two-stage least squares (2sls) estimates a linear regression of the outcome on treatment status using an instrumental variable (IV) and conducts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding , Fan Li

We study instrumental-variable designs where policy reforms strongly shift the distribution of an endogenous variable but only weakly move its mean. We formalize this by introducing distributional relevance: instruments may be purely…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-12 Rowan Cherodian , Guy Tchuente

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

As longitudinal data becomes more available in many settings, policy makers are increasingly interested in the effect of time-varying treatments (e.g. sustained treatment strategies). In settings such as this, the preferred analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Daniel Tompsett , Stijn Vansteelandt , Richard Grieve , Irene Petersen , Manuel Gomes

Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

This note develops a simple two-stage least squares (2SLS) procedure to estimate the causal effect of some endogenous regressors on a randomly right censored outcome in the linear model. The proposal replaces the usual ordinary least…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Jad Beyhum

This paper studies the identification and estimation of the optimal linear approximation of a structural regression function. The parameter in the linear approximation is called the Optimal Linear Instrumental Variables Approximation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-06 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Wei Li

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

Experiments studying get-out-the-vote (GOTV) efforts estimate the causal effect of various mobilization efforts on voter turnout. However, there is often substantial noncompliance in these studies. A usual approach is to use an instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Keele , Luke W. Miratrix

Meta-analyses frequently include trials that report multiple effect sizes based on a common set of study participants. These effect sizes will generally be correlated. Cluster-robust variance-covariance estimators are a fruitful approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Thilo Welz , Wolfgang Viechtbauer , Markus Pauly