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相关论文: Adapting the Number of Particles in Sequential Mon…

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Particle filtering is a standard Monte-Carlo approach for a wide range of sequential inference tasks. The key component of a particle filter is a set of particles with importance weights that serve as a proxy of the true posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Ruizhi Deng , Greg Mori , Andreas M. Lehrmann

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

This paper discusses variance estimation in sequential Monte Carlo methods, alternatively termed particle filters. The variance estimator that we propose is a natural modification of that suggested by H. P. Chan and T. L. Lai [A general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Jimmy Olsson , Randal Douc

The implicit particle filter is a sequential Monte Carlo method for data assimilation that guides the particles to the high-probability regions via a sequence of steps that includes minimizations. We present a new and more general…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-02-01 Ethan Atkins , Matthias Morzfeld , Alexandre J. Chorin

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of sequential Bayesian inference techniques that use neural networks to construct components in state space models. Existing approaches are mostly based on offline supervised training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Jiaxi Li , Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

This paper presents convergence analysis of a novel data-driven feedback control algorithm designed for generating online controls based on partial noisy observational data. The algorithm comprises a particle filter-enabled state estimation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-31 Siming Liang , Hui Sun , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

In this article we consider a Monte Carlo-based method to filter partially observed diffusions observed at regular and discrete times. Given access only to Euler discretizations of the diffusion process, we present a new procedure which can…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-12 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Fangyuan Yu

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

Particle filtering is a powerful approximation method that applies to state estimation in nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamical state-space models. Unfortunately, the approximation error depends exponentially on the system dimension. This…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-02 Francesco Bertoli , Adrian N. Bishop

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

Sequential Monte Carlo methods have been a major breakthrough in the field of numerical signal processing for stochastic dynamical state-space systems with partial and noisy observations. However, these methods still present certain…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Samuel Nyobe , Fabien Campillo , Serge Moto , Vivien Rossi

Twisted particle filters are a class of sequential Monte Carlo methods recently introduced by Whiteley and Lee to improve the efficiency of marginal likelihood estimation in state-space models. The purpose of this article is to extend the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Nick Whiteley , Kari Heine , Robert Piche

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast, recursive algorithm that gives a smooth estimate of the mixing distribution under the general mixture model. However, the PR algorithm requires evaluation of a normalizing constant at each iteration.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

We propose a novel particle filter for convolutional-correlation visual trackers. Our method uses correlation response maps to estimate likelihood distributions and employs these likelihoods as proposal densities to sample particles.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-15 Reza Jalil Mozhdehi , Henry Medeiros

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

We consider the combined use of resampling and partial rejection control in sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle filters. While the variance reducing properties of rejection control are known, there has not been (to the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Jan Kudlicka , Lawrence M. Murray , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum