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Probabilistic programming systems enable users to encode model structure and naturally reason about uncertainties, which can be leveraged towards improved Bayesian optimization (BO) methods. Here we present a probabilistic program embedding…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-06 Alexander Lavin

Simulation models, in particular agent-based models, are gaining popularity in economics. The considerable flexibility they offer, as well as their capacity to reproduce a variety of empirically observed behaviours of complex systems, give…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-20 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon

Randomized rounding is a technique that was originally used to approximate hard offline discrete optimization problems from a mathematical programming relaxation. Since then it has also been used to approximately solve sequential stochastic…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Will Ma

The discovery of genomic polymorphisms influencing gene expression (also known as expression quantitative trait loci or eQTLs) can be formulated as a sparse Bayesian multivariate/multiple regression problem. An important aspect in the…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2019-06-13 Dimitrios V Vavoulis

A widely used heuristic for solving stochastic optimization problems is to use a deterministic rolling horizon procedure, which has been modified to handle uncertainty (e.g. buffer stocks, schedule slack). This approach has been criticized…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-16 Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

How can robots learn and adapt to new tasks and situations with little data? Systematic exploration and simulation are crucial tools for efficient robot learning. We present a novel black-box policy search algorithm focused on…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Shiming He , Alexander von Rohr , Dominik Baumann , Ji Xiang , Sebastian Trimpe

Scientists often run experiments to distinguish competing theories. This requires patience, rigor, and ingenuity - there is often a large space of possible experiments one could run. But we need not comb this space by hand - if we represent…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-08-18 Long Ouyang , Michael Henry Tessler , Daniel Ly , Noah Goodman

Our goal is to compute a policy that guarantees improved return over a baseline policy even when the available MDP model is inaccurate. The inaccurate model may be constructed, for example, by system identification techniques when the true…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-17 Yinlam Chow , Marek Petrik , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We study discrete-time finite-horizon optimal control problems in probability spaces, whereby the state of the system is a probability measure. We show that, in many instances, the solution of dynamic programming in probability spaces…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-09 Antonio Terpin , Nicolas Lanzetti , Florian Dörfler

In this paper we investigate the applicability of standard model checking approaches to verifying properties in probabilistic programming. As the operational model for a standard probabilistic program is a potentially infinite parametric…

The generation of comprehensible explanations is an essential feature of modern artificial intelligence systems. In this work, we consider probabilistic logic programming, an extension of logic programming which can be useful to model…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Germán Vidal

State-of-the-art recommender systems have the ability to generate high-quality recommendations, but usually cannot provide intuitive explanations to humans due to the usage of black-box prediction models. The lack of transparency has…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-02-24 Shuyuan Xu , Yunqi Li , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Xu Chen , Yongfeng Zhang

Stochastic algorithms are among the best for solving computationally hard search and reasoning problems. The runtime of such procedures is characterized by a random variable. Different algorithms give rise to different probability…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman

Even if path planning can be solved using standard techniques from dynamic programming and control, the problem can also be approached using probabilistic inference. The algorithms that emerge using the latter framework bear some appealing…

Probabilistic programming is the idea of writing models from statistics and machine learning using program notations and reasoning about these models using generic inference engines. Recently its combination with deep learning has been…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Wonyeol Lee , Hangyeol Yu , Xavier Rival , Hongseok Yang

Probabilistic programming is related to a compositional approach to stochastic modeling by switching from discrete to continuous time dynamics. In continuous time, an operator-algebra semantics is available in which processes proceeding in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-05 Eric Mjolsness

Explaining and reasoning about processes which underlie observed black-box phenomena enables the discovery of causal mechanisms, derivation of suitable abstract representations and the formulation of more robust predictions. We propose to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-08-02 Svetlin Penkov , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Recent work in model-agnostic explanations of black-box machine learning has demonstrated that interpretability of complex models does not have to come at the cost of accuracy or model flexibility. However, it is not clear what kind of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-24 Sameer Singh , Marco Tulio Ribeiro , Carlos Guestrin

Checklists have been widely recognized as effective tools for completing complex tasks in a systematic manner. Although originally intended for use in procedural tasks, their interpretability and ease of use have led to their adoption for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-27 Yukti Makhija , Edward De Brouwer , Rahul G. Krishnan

In recent years, solving optimization problems involving black-box simulators has become a point of focus for the machine learning community due to their ubiquity in science and engineering. The simulators describe a forward process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Fabio Valerio Massoli , Tim Bakker , Thomas Hehn , Tribhuvanesh Orekondy , Arash Behboodi