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Gradient-based Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, like Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, are important methods for Bayesian inference. In large-scale settings, full-gradients are not affordable and thus stochastic gradients…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-25 Zhize Li , Tianyi Zhang , Shuyu Cheng , Jun Zhu , Jian Li

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

In Bayesian inference, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm known for its efficiency in sampling from complex probability distributions. However, its application to models with latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Alaa Amri , Víctor Elvira , Amy L. Wilson

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has gained popularity as a method for conducting inference and forecasting in complex models, most notably those which are intractable in some sense. In this paper we use ABC to produce probabilistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Chaya Weerasinghe , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

In this paper, we address the challenge of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms within the approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework, which often get trapped in local optima due to their inherent local exploration mechanism. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods have become increasingly prevalent of late, facilitating as they do the analysis of intractable, or challenging, statistical problems. With the initial focus being primarily on the practical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-08-24 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert

Simulation models for pedestrian crowds are a ubiquitous tool in research and industry. It is crucial that the parameters of these models are calibrated carefully and ultimately it will be of interest to compare competing models to decide…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-05-13 Nikolai Bode

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

The frequentist method of simulated minimum distance (SMD) is widely used in economics to estimate complex models with an intractable likelihood. In other disciplines, a Bayesian approach known as Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-16 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods make use of comparisons between simulated and observed summary statistics to overcome the problem of computationally intractable likelihood functions. As the practical implementation of ABC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 M. G. B. Blum , M. A. Nunes , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

How can heuristic strategies emerge from smaller building blocks? We propose Approximate Bayesian Computation as a computational solution to this problem. As a first proof of concept, we demonstrate how a heuristic decision strategy such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-17 Eric Schulz , Maarten Speekenbrink , Björn Meder

We propose Kernel Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (KMC), a gradient-free adaptive MCMC algorithm based on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). On target densities where classical HMC is not an option due to intractable gradients, KMC adaptively learns…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Heiko Strathmann , Dino Sejdinovic , Samuel Livingstone , Zoltan Szabo , Arthur Gretton

Simulation models often lack tractable likelihood functions, making likelihood-free inference methods indispensable. Approximate Bayesian computation generates likelihood-free posterior samples by comparing simulated and observed data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models offer a rich framework for model based clustering. We consider the situation where the kernel of the mixture is available only up to an intractable normalizing constant. In this case, most of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Mario Beraha , Riccardo Corradin

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). Indirect inference (II) is a classical likelihood-free approach that pre-dates the main developments of ABC and relies on simulation from a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-07 Christopher C Drovandi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) are likelihood-free Monte Carlo methods. ABC methods use a comparison between simulated data, using different parameters drew from a prior distribution, and observed data. This comparison process is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-31 Carlos D. Zuluaga , Edgar A. Valencia , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

Missing data is a recurrent issue in epidemiology where the infection process may be partially observed. Approximate Bayesian Computation, an alternative to data imputation methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo integration, is proposed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-08-31 Michael G. B. Blum , Viet Chi Tran

This work introduces a novel and efficient Bayesian federated learning algorithm, namely, the Federated Averaging stochastic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (FA-HMC), for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification. We establish rigorous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Jiajun Liang , Qian Zhang , Wei Deng , Qifan Song , Guang Lin