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It is useful to estimate the expected predictive performance of models planned to be used for prediction. We focus on leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), which has become a popular method for estimating predictive performance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Aki Vehtari

We develop a Bayesian framework for tackling the supervised clustering problem, the generic problem encountered in tasks such as reference matching, coreference resolution, identity uncertainty and record linkage. Our clustering model is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-07-07 Hal Daumé , Daniel Marcu

The importance of exploring a potential integration among surveys has been acknowledged in order to enhance effectiveness and minimize expenses. In this work, we employ the alignment method to combine information from two different surveys…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-09 Vasilis Chasiotis , Dimitris Karlis

Distance metric learning is an important component for many tasks, such as statistical classification and content-based image retrieval. Existing approaches for learning distance metrics from pairwise constraints typically suffer from two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Liu Yang , Rong Jin , Rahul Sukthankar

Robust Bayesian analysis has been mainly devoted to detecting and measuring robustness w.r.t. the prior distribution. Many contributions in the literature aim to define suitable classes of priors which allow the computation of variations of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Antonio Di Noia , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Antonietta Mira

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal

While Robert and Rousseau (2010) addressed the foundational aspects of Bayesian analysis, the current chapter details its practical aspects through a review of the computational methods available for approximating Bayesian procedures.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-02-25 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-28 Elizabeth A. Stuart

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

Relational query optimisers rely on cost models to choose between different query execution plans. Selectivity estimates are known to be a crucial input to the cost model. In practice, standard selectivity estimation procedures are prone to…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-09-22 Max Halford , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Franck Morvan

We present a new model-based integrative method for clustering objects given both vectorial data, which describes the feature of each object, and network data, which indicates the similarity of connected objects. The proposed general model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-25 Yunchuan Kong , Xiaodan Fan

Benchmarking estimation and its risk evaluation is a practically important issue in small area estimation. While Bayesian methods have been widely adopted in small area estimation, existing benchmarking approaches are often ad-hoc, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Genya Kobayashi , Yuki Kawakubo

A new class of general exponential ranking models is introduced which we label angle-based models for ranking data. A consensus score vector is assumed, which assigns scores to a set of items, where the scores reflect a consensus view of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Hang Xu , Mayer Alvo , Philip L. H. Yu

This paper considers data-driven chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian posteriors afford a principled mechanism to incorporate data and prior knowledge into stochastic optimization problems.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Building upon the Chatterjee correlation (2021: J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 116, p2009) for two real-valued variables, this study introduces a generalized measure of directed association between two vector variables, real or complex-valued, and of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-26 Roberto D. Pascual-Marqui , Kieko Kochi , Toshihiko Kinoshita

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was popularised already in the 1980s, no systematic and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Maren Mahsereci , Toni Karvonen

Approximate string-matching methods to account for complex variation in highly discriminatory text fields, such as personal names, can enhance probabilistic record linkage. However, discriminating between matching and non-matching strings…