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Dynamic topic models (DTMs) are very effective in discovering topics and capturing their evolution trends in time series data. To do posterior inference of DTMs, existing methods are all batch algorithms that scan the full dataset before…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-22 Arnab Bhadury , Jianfei Chen , Jun Zhu , Shixia Liu

Granger causality has been employed to investigate causality relations between components of stationary multiple time series. We generalize this concept by developing statistical inference for local Granger causality for multivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi , Hernando Ombao

We propose a topic modeling approach to the prediction of preferences in pairwise comparisons. We develop a new generative model for pairwise comparisons that accounts for multiple shared latent rankings that are prevalent in a population…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-01-27 Weicong Ding , Prakash Ishwar , Venkatesh Saligrama

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

Identifying directed interactions between species from time series of their population densities has many uses in ecology. This key statistical task is equivalent to causal time series inference, which connects to the Granger causality (GC)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-10 Frederic Barraquand , Coralie Picoche , Matteo Detto , Florian Hartig

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

Human activities increasingly take place in online environments, providing novel opportunities for relating individual behaviours to population-level outcomes. In this paper, we introduce a simple generative model for the collective…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-24 James P. Gleeson , Davide Cellai , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Mason A. Porter , Felix Reed-Tsochas

Social media users have finite attention which limits the number of incoming messages from friends they can process. Moreover, they pay more attention to opinions and recommendations of some friends more than others. In this paper, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-01-29 Jeon-Hyung Kang , Kristina Lerman , Lise Getoor

Accurately modeling user preferences is crucial for improving the performance of content-based recommender systems. Existing approaches often rely on simplistic user profiling methods, such as averaging or concatenating item embeddings,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Milad Sabouri , Masoud Mansoury , Kun Lin , Bamshad Mobasher

Drawing causal conclusions from observational real-world data is a very much desired but challenging task. In this paper we present mixed-method analyses to investigate causal influences of publication trends and behavior on the adoption,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-10-18 Maria Glenski , Svitlana Volkova

Longitudinal analysis is important in many disciplines, such as the study of behavioral transitions in social science. Only very recently, feature selection has drawn adequate attention in the context of longitudinal modeling. Standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Tingyang Xu , Jiangwen Sun , Jinbo Bi

In the real world, many topics are inter-correlated, making it challenging to investigate their structure and relationships. Understanding the interplay between topics and their relevance can provide valuable insights for researchers,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Yeseul Jeon , Jina Park , Ick Hoon Jin , Dongjun Chungc

User behaviour analysis based on traffic log in wireless networks can be beneficial to many fields in real life: not only for commercial purposes, but also for improving network service quality and social management. We cluster users into…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-11-19 Bingjie Leng , Jingchu Liu , Huimin Pan , Sheng Zhou , Zhisheng Niu

Networked environments shape how information embedded in narratives influences individual and group beliefs and behavior. This raises key questions about how group communication around narrative media impacts belief formation and how such…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Abha Jha , J. Hunter Priniski , Carolyn Steinle , Fred Morstatter

The exponential growth of online social network platforms and applications has led to a staggering volume of user-generated textual content, including comments and reviews. Consequently, users often face difficulties in extracting valuable…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Anusuya Krishnan

Explaining underlying causes or effects about events is a challenging but valuable task. We define a novel problem of generating explanations of a time series event by (1) searching cause and effect relationships of the time series with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-04-26 Dongyeop Kang , Varun Gangal , Ang Lu , Zheng Chen , Eduard Hovy

Process data, temporally ordered categorical observations, are of recent interest due to its increasing abundance and the desire to extract useful information. A process is a collection of time-stamped events of different types, recording…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

Personalized news recommendation is highly time-sensitive, as user interests are often driven by emerging events, trending topics, and shifting real-world contexts. These dynamics make it essential to model not only users' long-term…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Zhiyong Cheng , Yike Jin , Zhijie Zhang , Huilin Chen , Zhangling Duan , Meng Wang

This article presents a novel approach for learning low-dimensional distributed representations of users in online social networks. Existing methods rely on the network structure formed by the social relationships among users to extract…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-10-23 Harvineet Singh , Amitabha Bagchi , Parag Singla

Topic drift is a common phenomenon in multi-turn dialogue. Therefore, an ideal dialogue generation models should be able to capture the topic information of each context, detect the relevant context, and produce appropriate responses…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Hainan Zhang , Yanyan Lan , Liang Pang , Hongshen Chen , Zhuoye Ding , Dawei Yin