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Distributed learning of probabilistic models from multiple data repositories with minimum communication is increasingly important. We study a simple communication-efficient learning framework that first calculates the local maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-13 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

We present a method to generate contingency tables that follow loglinear models with prescribed marginal probabilities and dependence structures. We make use of (loglinear) Poisson regression, where the dependence structures, described…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Ceejay Hammond , Peter G. M. van der Heijden , Paul A. Smith

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

Bogdan et al. established a new criterion to determine the existence of a maximum likelihood estimator in discrete exponential families. It uses the notion of the set of uniqueness, which allows to apply the problem to the Ising model from…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Tomasz Skalski , Tomasz Stroiński

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

The widespread use of generative models has created a feedback loop, in which each generation of models is trained on data partially produced by its predecessors. This process has raised concerns about model collapse: A critical degradation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

In making inference on the relation between failure and exposure histories in the Cox semiparametric model, the maximum partial likelihood estimator (MPLE) of the finite dimensional odds parameter, and the Breslow estimator of the baseline…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-12 Larry Goldstein , Haimeng Zhang

Today, data analysts largely rely on intuition to determine whether missing or withheld rows of a dataset significantly affect their analyses. We propose a framework that can produce automatic contingency analysis, i.e., the range of values…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-04-09 Xi Liang , Zechao Shang , Aaron J. Elmore , Sanjay Krishnan , Michael J. Franklin

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

We present a comprehensive study of graphical log-linear models for contingency tables. High dimensional contingency tables arise in many areas such as computational biology, collection of survey and census data and others. Analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-15 Niharika Gauraha

In regression models for categorical data a linear model is typically related to the response variables via a transformation of probabilities called the link function. We introduce an approach based on two link functions for binary data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-04 Monia Lupparelli , Alberto Roverato

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation is widely used in statistics. The h-likelihood has been proposed as an extension of Fisher's likelihood to statistical models including unobserved latent variables of recent interest. Its advantage is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee , Jae Kwang Kim

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-27 Emmanuel J. Candes , Pragya Sur

This paper presents a tractable sufficient condition for the consistency of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in partially observed diffusion models, stated in terms of stationary distribution of the associated fully observed diffusion,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Sergey Nadtochiy , Yuan Yin

We study the uniform convergence rate of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the sub-distribution functions in the current status data with competing risks model. It is known that the MLE have $L^2$-norm convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-16 Sergey V. Malov

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. The problem is to maximize the likelihood function with respect to given data on a statistical model. An algebraic approach to this problem is to…

符号计算 · 计算机科学 2015-05-07 Jose Israel Rodriguez , Xiaoxian Tang

Operational risk models commonly employ maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to fit loss data to heavy-tailed distributions. Yet several desirable properties of MLE (e.g. asymptotic normality) are generally valid only for large sample-sizes,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-08-26 Paul Larsen