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In this article we discuss estimation of the common variance of several normal populations with tree order restricted means. We discuss the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance as the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-24 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Sanjay Chaudhuri

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-11 F Blasques , P Gorgi , S Koopman , O Wintenberger

A numerical technique is introduced that reduces exponentially the time required for Monte Carlo simulations of non-equilibrium systems. Results for the quasi-stationary probability distribution in two model systems are compared with the…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 A. Bandrivskyy , S. Beri , D. G. Luchinsky , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock

Monte Carlo integration is a commonly used technique to compute intractable integrals and is typically thought to perform poorly for very high-dimensional integrals. To show that this is not always the case, we examine Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Yanbo Tang

We consider selecting the top-$m$ alternatives from a finite number of alternatives via Monte Carlo simulation. Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the sampling decision as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, and develop a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-22 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Jianghua Zhang , Enlu Zhou

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

In this paper, the maximum spacing method is considered for multivariate observations. Nearest neighbour balls are used as a multidimensional analogue to univariate spacings. A class of information-type measures is used to generalize the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-19 Kristi Kuljus , Bo Ranneby

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

A trigonometrically approximated maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable laws is proposed. The estimator solves the approximated likelihood equation, which is obtained by projecting a true score function on the space spanned by…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Muneya Matsui , Naoya Sueishi

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

This paper deals with some computational aspects in the Bayesian analysis of statistical models with intractable normalizing constants. In the presence of intractable normalizing constants in the likelihood function, traditional MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-04-22 Yves Atchade , Nicolas Lartillot , Christian P. Robert

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…