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The paper introduces AND/OR importance sampling for probabilistic graphical models. In contrast to importance sampling, AND/OR importance sampling caches samples in the AND/OR space and then extracts a new sample mean from the stored…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Vibhav Gogate , Rina Dechter

We consider estimating the proportion of random variables for two types of composite null hypotheses: (i) the means of the random variables belonging to a non-empty, bounded interval; (ii) the means of the random variables belonging to an…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-21 Xiongzhi Chen

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

This article was written for the Logic in Computer Science column in the February 2015 issue of the Bulletin of the European Association for Theoretical Computer Science. The intended audience is general computer science audience. The…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-02-04 Andreas Blass , Yuri Gurevich

This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Yura N Perov

In this paper we define and examine the power of the {\em conditional-sampling} oracle in the context of distribution-property testing. The conditional-sampling oracle for a discrete distribution $\mu$ takes as input a subset $S \subset…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-04-09 Sourav Chakraborty , Eldar Fischer , Yonatan Goldhirsh , Arie Matsliah

In many situations, sample data is obtained from a noisy or imperfect source. In order to address such corruptions, this paper introduces the concept of a sampling corrector. Such algorithms use structure that the distribution is purported…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-04-03 Clément Canonne , Themis Gouleakis , Ronitt Rubinfeld

This Ph.D. thesis concerns the version of the classical coupon collector's problem, when a collector samples with replacement a set of $n\ge 2$ distinct coupons so that at each time any one of the $n$ coupons is drawn with the same…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-27 Anna Pósfai

Likelihood is a standard estimate for outlier detection. The specific role of the normalization constraint is to ensure that the out-of-distribution (OOD) regime has a small likelihood when samples are learned using maximum likelihood.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Sangwoong Yoon , Yung-Kyun Noh , Frank Chongwoo Park

A binary contingency table is an m x n array of binary entries with prescribed row sums r=(r_1,...,r_m) and column sums c=(c_1,...,c_n). The configuration model for uniformly sampling binary contingency tables proceeds as follows. First,…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-13 Jose Blanchet , Alexandre Stauffer

Though neural network models demonstrate impressive performance, we do not understand exactly how these black-box models make individual predictions. This drawback has led to substantial research devoted to understand these models in areas…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-10 Serena Booth , Ankit Shah , Yilun Zhou , Julie Shah

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Let p_N be a random degree N polynomial in one complex variable whose zeros are chosen independently from a fixed probability measure mu on the Riemann sphere S^2. This article proves that if we condition p_N to have a zero at some fixed…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-26 Boris Hanin

We analyze the convergence rate of the randomized Newton-like method introduced by Qu et. al. (2016) for smooth and convex objectives, which uses random coordinate blocks of a Hessian-over-approximation matrix $\bM$ instead of the true…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-13 Mojmír Mutný , Michał Dereziński , Andreas Krause

Structure discovery in graphical models is the determination of the topology of a graph that encodes conditional independence properties of the joint distribution of all variables in the model. For some class of probability distributions,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-07 Wacha Bounliphone , Matthew Blaschko

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

Consider a Gaussian memoryless multiple source with $m$ components with joint probability distribution known only to lie in a given class of distributions. A subset of $k \leq m$ components are sampled and compressed with the objective of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-03-16 Vinay Praneeth Boda

Extending the intelligence of sensors to the data-acquisition process - deciding whether to sample or not - can result in transformative energy-efficiency gains. However, making such a decision in a deterministic manner involves risk of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Ibrahim Albulushi , Saleh Bunaiyan , Suraj S. Cheema , Hesham ElSawy , Feras Al-Dirini

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Importance sampling is often used in machine learning when training and testing data come from different distributions. In this paper we propose a new variant of importance sampling that can reduce the variance of importance sampling-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-11 Philip S. Thomas , Emma Brunskill