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Standard Markov decision process (MDP) and reinforcement learning algorithms optimize the policy with respect to the expected gain. We propose an algorithm which enables to optimize an alternative objective: the probability that the gain is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-06 Vincent Corlay , Jean-Christophe Sibel

General purpose intelligent learning agents cycle through (complex,non-MDP) sequences of observations, actions, and rewards. On the other hand, reinforcement learning is well-developed for small finite state Markov Decision Processes…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Mean payoff (or long-run average reward) provides a mathematically elegant formalism to express performance related…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-08 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

In this paper we model basketball plays as episodes from team-specific non-stationary Markov decision processes (MDPs) with shot clock dependent transition probabilities. Bayesian hierarchical models are employed in the modeling and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Nathan Sandholtz , Luke Bornn

Partially observable Markov decision processes have been widely used to provide models for real-world decision making problems. In this paper, we will provide a method in which a slightly different version of them called Mixed observability…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-06 Pouyan Rafiei Fard , Keyvan Yahya

An automatic program that generates constant profit from the financial market is lucrative for every market practitioner. Recent advance in deep reinforcement learning provides a framework toward end-to-end training of such trading agent.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-07-10 Chien Yi Huang

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are used to model a wide variety of applications ranging from game playing over robotics to finance. Their optimal policy typically maximizes the expected sum of rewards given at each step of the decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Maximilian Nägele , Jan Olle , Thomas Fösel , Remmy Zen , Florian Marquardt

In this paper, we consider reinforcement learning of Markov Decision Processes (MDP) with peak constraints, where an agent chooses a policy to optimize an objective and at the same time satisfy additional constraints. The agent has to take…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-12-09 Ather Gattami

In recent years, quantitative investment methods combined with artificial intelligence have attracted more and more attention from investors and researchers. Existing related methods based on the supervised learning are not very suitable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Sihang Chen , Weiqi Luo , Chao Yu

In this paper, we model one-day international cricket games as Markov processes, applying forward and inverse Reinforcement Learning (RL) to develop three novel tools for the game. First, we apply Monte-Carlo learning to fit a nonlinear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Manohar Vohra , George S. D. Gordon

This paper introduced a reinforcement learning based decision support system in textile manufacturing process. A solution optimization problem of color fading ozonation is discussed and set up as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Zhenglei He , Kim Phuc Tran , Sébastien Thomassey , Xianyi Zeng , Changhai Yi

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are the defacto frame-work for sequential decision making in the presence ofstochastic uncertainty. A classical optimization criterion forMDPs is to maximize the expected discounted-sum pay-off, which…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-02-28 Tomas Brazdil , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Petr Novotny , Jiri Vahala

We present a general framework for applying machine-learning algorithms to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of these techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive exploration of the…

This paper develops a unified Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework for optimising two recurring in-match decisions in T20 cricket, namely batting order selection and bowling plan assignment, directly in terms of win and defend…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Tinniam V Ganesh

Player performance prediction is a serious problem in every sport since it brings valuable future information for managers to make important decisions. In baseball industries, there already existed variable prediction systems and many types…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Hsuan-Cheng Sun , Tse-Yu Lin , Yen-Lung Tsai

Genomic selection (GS) is a technique that plant breeders use to select individuals to mate and produce new generations of species. Allocation of resources is a key factor in GS. At each selection cycle, breeders are facing the choice of…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2021-07-26 Saba Moeinizade , Guiping Hu , Lizhi Wang

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are widely used for modeling decision-making problems in robotics, automated control, and economics. Traditional MDPs assume that the decision maker (DM) knows all states and actions. However, this may not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Nan Rong , Ashutosh Saxena

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are widely used for modeling decision-making problems in robotics, automated control, and economics. Traditional MDPs assume that the decision maker (DM) knows all states and actions. However, this may not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-06-14 Joseph Y. Halpern , Nan Rong , Ashutosh Saxena

Current work in explainable reinforcement learning generally produces policies in the form of a decision tree over the state space. Such policies can be used for formal safety verification, agent behavior prediction, and manual inspection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Nicholay Topin , Stephanie Milani , Fei Fang , Manuela Veloso
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