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A review of the recent refereed literature fails to confirm quantitatively that carbon dioxide (CO2) radiative forcing was the prime mover in the changes in temperature, ice-sheet volume, and related climatic variables in the glacial and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-07-10 Willie Soon

Orbital forcing plays a key role in pacing the glacial-interglacial cycles. However, the mechanistic linkages between the orbital parameters - eccentricity, obliquity, and precession - and global ice volume remain unclear. Here, we…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Liam Wheen , Oscar Benjamin , Thomas Gernon , Cameron Hall , Jerry Wright

It is commonly accepted that the variations of Earth's orbit and obliquity control the timing of Pleistocene glacial-interglacial cycles. Evidence comes from power spectrum analysis of palaeoclimate records and from inspection of the timing…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Michel Crucifix

Paleoclimate data help us assess climate sensitivity and potential human-made climate effects. We conclude that Earth in the warmest interglacial periods of the past million years was less than 1{\deg}C warmer than in the Holocene. Polar…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-09-12 James E. Hansen , Makiko Sato

During most of the Phanerozoic eon, which began about a half-billion years ago, there were few glacial intervals until the late Pliocene 2.75 million years ago. Beginning at that time, the Earth's climate entered a period of instability…

综合物理 · 物理学 2012-02-22 Gerald E. Marsh

An intriguing problem in climate science is the existence of Earth's glacial cycles. We show that it is possible to generate these periodic changes in climate by means of the Earth's carbon cycle as the main determinant factor. The carbon…

The existing understanding of interglacial periods is that they are initiated by Milankovitch cycles enhanced by rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. During interglacials, global temperature is also believed to be primarily…

综合物理 · 物理学 2014-09-11 Gerald E. Marsh

There is evidence that ice age cycles are paced by astronomical forcing, suggesting some kind of synchronisation phenomenon. Here, we identify the type of such synchronisation and explore systematically its uniqueness and robustness using a…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-11-15 B. De Saedeleer , M. Crucifix , S. Wieczorek

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

The last glacial period was punctuated by a series of abrupt climate shifts, the so-called Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. The frequency of DO events varied in time, supposedly because of changes in background climate conditions. Here, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-07-26 Takahito Mitsui , Michel Crucifix

Using a recent conceptual model of the glacial-interglacial cycles we present more evidence of Milankovitch cycles being the trigger for retreat and forming of ice sheets in the cycles. This model is based on a finite approximation of an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-11-20 Shiv Priyam Raghuraman

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

Long-term changes in the tilt of the Earths axis, relative to the plane of its orbit, are of great significance to long-term climate change, because they control the size of the arctic and antarctic circles. These Milankovitch cycles have…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-03-30 R. C. T. Rainey

Astronomical (or Milankovi\'c) forcing of the Earth system is key to understanding rhythmic climate change on time scales >~ 10 kyr. Paleoceanographic and paleoclimatological applications concerned with past astronomical forcing rely on…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-03 Richard E. Zeebe , Margriet L. Lantink

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

The glacial cycles are attributed to the climatic response of the orbital changes in the irradiance to the Earth. These changes in the forcing are to small to explain the observed climate variations as simple linear responses. Non-linear…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-02-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

The 100,000-year problem concerns the dominant period of glacial-interglacial cycles over the past 800,000 years and their correlation with Earth's orbital eccentricity, despite eccentricity's weak influence on solar radiation. Two theories…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-15 Liam Wheen

Although the Earth's orbit is never far from circular, terrestrial planets around other stars might experience substantial changes in eccentricity that could lead to climate changes, including possible "phase transitions" such as the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 David S. Spiegel , Sean N. Raymond , Courtney D. Dressing , Caleb A. Scharf , Jonathan L. Mitchell
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