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The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme events'). We study the large, internal changes produced in a…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 D. Lamper , S. Howison , N. F. Johnson

We study the process of opinion formation in an Ising social network of scientific collaborations. The network is undirected. An Ising spin is associated with each network node being oriented up (red) or down (blue). Certain nodes carry…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-07 Kristina Bukina , Dima L. Shepelyansky

Majority-vote model is a much-studied model for social opinion dynamics of two competing opinions. With the recent appreciation that our social network comprises a variety of different layers forming a multiplex network, a natural question…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-22 Jeehye Choi , K. -I. Goh

We investigate the dynamics of the voter model in which the population itself changes endogenously via the birth-death process. There are two species of voters, labeled A and B, and the population of each species can grow or shrink by the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-06-17 Deepak Bhat , Jordi Piñero , S. Redner

We generalize Galam's model of opinion spreading by introducing three competing choices. At each update, the population is randomly divided in groups of three agents, whose members adopt the opinion of the local majority. In the case of a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 S. Gekle , S. Galam , L. Peliti

In this work, it is pointed out that in the mean-field version of majority-rule opinion dynamics, the dependence of the consensus time on the population size exhibits two regimes. This is determined by the size distribution of the groups…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-10-16 Damián H. Zanette

Emergence of hierarchies is investigated by Monte Carlo simulation in a timid society where all individuals are pacifist. The self-organiztion of hierarchies is shown to occur in two steps as the population is increased, i.e. there are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Takashi Odagaki , Masaru Tsujiguchi

We consider \emph{plurality consensus} in a network of $n$ nodes. Initially, each node has one of $k$ opinions. The nodes execute a (randomized) distributed protocol to agree on the plurality opinion (the opinion initially supported by the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-02-04 Petra Berenbrink , Tom Friedetzky , Peter Kling , Frederik Mallmann-Trenn , Chris Wastell

We test the hypothesis that protest participation decisions in an adult population of potential climate protesters are interdependent. Subjects (n=1,510) from the four largest German cities were recruited two weeks before protest date. We…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-24 Johannes Jarke-Neuert , Grischa Perino , Henrike Schwickert

This paper presents a new approach to behavioral-social dynamics of human crowds. First order models are derived based on mass conservation at the macroscopic scale, while methods of the kinetic theory are used to model the decisional…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-01-14 Nicola Bellomo , Stefano Berrone , Livio Gibelli , Alexandre Pieri

In recent times there has been a surge of interest in seeking out patterns in the aggregate behavior of socio-economic systems. One such domain is the emergence of statistical regularities in the evolution of collective choice from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-01-12 Sitabhra Sinha , Raj Kumar Pan

Opinion evolution and judgment revision are mediated through social influence. Based on a large crowdsourced in vitro experiment (n=861), it is shown how a consensus model can be used to predict opinion evolution in online collective…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-09-28 Corentin Vande Kerckhove , Samuel Martin , Pascal Gend , Peter J. Rentfrow , Julien M. Hendrickx , Vincent D. Blondel

In this paper, we study opinion dynamics in a balanced social structure consisting of two groups. Agents learn the true state of the world naively learning from their neighbors and from an unbiased source of information. Agents want to…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-03 Sebastiano Della Lena , Luca Paolo Merlino

We experimentally study voter turnout in two-tier elections when the electorate consists of multiple groups, such as states. Votes are aggregated within the groups by the winner-take-all rule or the proportional rule, and the group-level…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-19 Yoichi Hizen , Kazuya Kikuchi , Yukio Koriyama , Takehito Masuda

Promoting participation on digital platforms such as Brasil Participativo has emerged as a top priority for governments worldwide. However, due to the sheer volume of contributions, much of this engagement goes underutilized, as organizing…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Ronivaldo Ferreira , Guilherme da Silva , Carla Rocha , Gustavo Pinto

In the theory of voting, the Plurality rule for preferences that come in the form of linear orders selects the alternatives most frequently appearing in the first position of those orders, while the Anti-Plurality rule selects the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Ulle Endriss , Federico Fioravanti

We consider an opinion dynamics model where, during random pair interactions, each agent modifies her opinions about both agents of the random pair and also about some other agents, chosen randomly. Moreover, each agent belongs to a single…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-01-25 Guillaume Deffuant , Thibaut Roubin

Protest is ubiquitous in the 21st Century and the people who participate in such movements do so because they seek to bring about social change. However, social change takes time and involves repeated interactions between individual…

We analyse a generalisation of the Galam model of binary opinion dynamics in which iterative discussions take place in local groups of individuals and study the effects of random deviations from the group majority. The probability of a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-24 Gabor Toth

We propose an agent-based model of collective opinion formation to study the wisdom of crowds under social influence. The opinion of an agent is a continuous positive value, denoting its subjective answer to a factual question. The wisdom…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-25 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer