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This paper offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian inference, combining historical context, theoretical foundations, and core analytical examples. Beginning with Bayes' theorem and the philosophical distinctions between Bayesian and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez , Danna Cruz

This introduction to Bayesian statistics presents the main concepts as well as the principal reasons advocated in favour of a Bayesian modelling. We cover the various approaches to prior determination as well as the basis asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-02-09 Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

We argue here about the relevance and the ultimate unity of the Bayesian approach in a neutral and agnostic manner. Our main theme is that Bayesian data analysis is an effective tool for handling complex models, as proven by the increasing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-03-26 Christian P. Robert

We provide an introductory review of Bayesian data analytical methods, with a focus on applications for linguistics, psychology, psycholinguistics, and cognitive science. The empirically oriented researcher will benefit from making Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-14 Bruno Nicenboim , Shravan Vasishth

These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-09 Roberto Trotta

A substantial school in the philosophy of science identifies Bayesian inference with inductive inference and even rationality as such, and seems to be strengthened by the rise and practical success of Bayesian statistics. We argue that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-21 Andrew Gelman , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In the last two decades, Bayesian inference has become commonplace in astronomy. At the same time, the choice of algorithms, terminology, notation, and interpretation of Bayesian inference varies from one sub-field of astronomy to the next,…

While Robert and Rousseau (2010) addressed the foundational aspects of Bayesian analysis, the current chapter details its practical aspects through a review of the computational methods available for approximating Bayesian procedures.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-02-25 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin

This textbook provides a systematic treatment of statistical machine learning for astronomical research through the lens of Bayesian inference, developing a unified framework that reveals connections between modern data analysis techniques…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-06-17 Yuan-Sen Ting

Course notes about an introduction to Bayesian Statistics. First, an explanation of the bayesian paradigm is motivated and explained in detail (first three chapters). Then, a brief introduction to the basics about Decision Theory in chapter…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-09-14 Arturo Erdely , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña

The goal of this thesis is twofold; introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference and computation focusing on astronomical and cosmological applications, and present recent advances in probabilistic computational methods developed by the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-03-31 Minas Karamanis

The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting problem -- model, parameters, latent states -- is able to be…

This chapter offers an accessible introduction to the channel-based approach to Bayesian probability theory. This framework rests on algebraic and logical foundations, inspired by the methodologies of programming language semantics. It…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-30 Bart Jacobs , Fabio Zanasi

In this manuscript, we discuss the substantial importance of Bayesian reasoning in Social Science research. Particularly, we focus on foundational elements to fit models under the Bayesian paradigm. We aim to offer a frame of reference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Carolina Luque , Juan Sosa

An overview is presented of a general theory of statistical inference that is referred to as the fiducial-Bayes fusion. This theory combines organic fiducial inference and Bayesian inference. The aim is that the reader is given a clear…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Russell J. Bowater

The philosophical foundations of statistics involve issues in theoretical statistics, such as goals and methods to meet these goals, and interpretation of the meaning of inference using statistics. They are related to the philosophy of…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Inge G. Helland , Nils Lid Hjort , Gunnar Taraldsen

We provide four case studies that use Bayesian machinery to making inductive reasoning. Our main motivation relies in offering several instances where the Bayesian approach to data analysis is exploited at its best to perform complex tasks,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Juan Sosa , Lina Buitrago

These lecture notes highlight the mathematical and computational structure relating to the formulation of, and development of algorithms for, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems in differential equations. This approach is fundamental…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-03 Masoumeh Dashti , Andrew M. Stuart

Educational guide focused on the statistical treatment of measurement uncertainties. The conditions of application of current practices are detailed and precised: mean values, central limit theorem, linear regression. The last two chapters…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Romain Legrand
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