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Bayesian methods are a popular choice for statistical inference in small-data regimes due to the regularization effect induced by the prior. In the context of density estimation, the standard nonparametric Bayesian approach is to target the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes , Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

An important goal of environmental health research is to assess the risk posed by mixtures of environmental exposures. Two popular classes of models for mixtures analyses are response-surface methods and exposure-index methods.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Glen McGee , Ander Wilson , Thomas F. Webster , Brent A. Coull

The modelling of data on a spherical surface requires the consideration of directional probability distributions. To model asymmetrically distributed data on a three-dimensional sphere, Kent distributions are often used. The moment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-06-29 Parthan Kasarapu

The mass, or binding energy, is the basis property of the atomic nucleus. It determines its stability, and reaction and decay rates. Quantifying the nuclear binding is important for understanding the origin of elements in the universe. The…

核理论 · 物理学 2018-10-03 Léo Neufcourt , Yuchen Cao , Witold Nazarewicz , Frederi Viens

Anomaly detection (AD) is a fundamental research problem in machine learning and computer vision, with practical applications in industrial inspection, video surveillance, and medical diagnosis. In medical imaging, AD is especially vital…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-30 Jinan Bao , Hanshi Sun , Hanqiu Deng , Yinsheng He , Zhaoxiang Zhang , Xingyu Li

Evaluating the influence of continuous covariates, like exposure time or dose, on a response variable is a pivotal objective in the assessment of a compound's effect, particularly when determining toxicity in pre-clinical research or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Lucia Ameis , Niklas Hagemann , Kathrin Möllenhoff

We study the information content of nuclear masses from the perspective of global models of nuclear binding energies. To this end, we employ a number of statistical methods and diagnostic tools, including Bayesian calibration, Bayesian…

核理论 · 物理学 2020-05-08 Vojtech Kejzlar , Léo Neufcourt , Witold Nazarewicz , Paul-Gerhard Reinhard

In cluster-randomized trials (CRTs), entire clusters of individuals are randomized to treatment, and outcomes within a cluster are typically correlated. While frequentist approaches are standard practice for CRT analysis, Bayesian methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Ruyi Liu , Joshua L. Warren , Yuki Ohnishi , Donna Spiegelman , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

Parameter ensembles or sets of random effects constitute one of the cornerstones of modern statistical practice. This is especially the case in Bayesian hierarchical models, where several decision theoretic frameworks can be deployed. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Cedric E. Ginestet

Biomarkers are often measured in bulk to diagnose patients, monitor patient conditions, and research novel drug pathways. The measurement of these biomarkers often suffers from detection limits that result in missing and untrustworthy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Alton Barbehenn , Sihai Dave Zhao

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Multi-gene panel testing allows efficient detection of pathogenic variants in cancer susceptibility genes including moderate-risk genes such as ATM and PALB2. A growing number of studies examine the risk of breast cancer (BC) conferred by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-26 Thanthirige Lakshika M. Ruberu , Danielle Braun , Giovanni Parmigiani , Swati Biswas

Environmental epidemiologists are often interested in estimating the effect of time-varying functions of the exposure history on health outcomes. However, the individual exposure measurements that constitute the history upon which an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Ce Yang , Ning Zhang , Jiaxuan Li , Unnati V. Mehta , Jaime E. Hart , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Unbiased estimators are introduced for averaged Bregman divergences which generalize Stein's Unbiased (Predictive) Risk Estimator, and the minimization of these estimators is proposed as a regularization parameter selection method for…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-23 Denis Belomestny , Mark Podolskij , Shi-Yuan Zhou

Many applications involve estimating the mean of multiple binomial outcomes as a common problem -- assessing intergenerational mobility of census tracts, estimating prevalence of infectious diseases across countries, and measuring…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-01 Yan Chen , Lihua Lei