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There are many practical difficulties in the calibration of computer models to experimental data. One such complication is the fact that certain combinations of the calibration inputs can cause the code to output data lacking fundamental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Peter W. Marcy , Curtis B. Storlie

Inference for doubly intractable distributions is challenging because the intractable normalizing functions of these models include parameters of interest. Previous auxiliary variable MCMC algorithms are infeasible for multi-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Jaewoo Park

In modular Bayesian analyses, complex models are composed of distinct modules, each representing different aspects of the data or prior information. In this context, fully Bayesian approaches can sometimes lead to undesirable feedback…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Grant Hutchings , Kellin Rumsey , Derek Bingham , Gabriel Huerta

Based on the framework of Conformal Prediction (CP), we study the online construction of confidence sets given a black-box machine learning model. By converting the target confidence levels into quantile levels, the problem can be reduced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Zhiyu Zhang , Zhou Lu , Heng Yang

As data size and computing power increase, the architectures of deep neural networks (DNNs) have been getting more complex and huge, and thus there is a growing need to simplify such complex and huge DNNs. In this paper, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Two fundamental problems in unsupervised learning are efficient inference for latent-variable models and robust density estimation based on large amounts of unlabeled data. Algorithms for the two tasks, such as normalizing flows and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Changyou Chen , Chunyuan Li , Liqun Chen , Wenlin Wang , Yunchen Pu , Lawrence Carin

We present a novel framework for concomitant dimension reduction and clustering. This framework is based on a novel class of Bayesian clustering factor models. These models assume a factor model structure where the vectors of common factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Hwasoo Shin , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge

Multi-objective embedding-based retrieval (EBR) has become increasingly critical due to the growing complexity of user behaviors and commercial objectives. While traditional approaches often suffer from data sparsity and limited information…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Hao Deng , Haibo Xing , Kanefumi Matsuyama , Moyu Zhang , Jinxin Hu , Hong Wen , Yu Zhang , Xiaoyi Zeng , Jing Zhang

Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG) is a widely used technique for improving conditional diffusion models by linearly combining the outputs of conditional and unconditional denoisers. While CFG enhances visual quality and improves alignment with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Badr Moufad , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Ahmed Ghorbel , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Our article deals with Bayesian inference for a general state space model with the simulated likelihood computed by the particle filter. We show empirically that the partially or fully adapted particle filters can be much more efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-11 Michael Pitt , Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn

Computer vision tasks are difficult because of the large variability in the data that is induced by changes in light, background, partial occlusion as well as the varying pose, texture, and shape of objects. Generative approaches to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Adam Kortylewski , Mario Wieser , Andreas Morel-Forster , Aleksander Wieczorek , Sonali Parbhoo , Volker Roth , Thomas Vetter

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In this thesis, we introduce Bayesian filtering as a principled framework for tackling diverse sequential machine learning problems, including online (continual) learning, prequential (one-step-ahead) forecasting, and contextual bandits. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

In Bayesian statistics, the choice of the prior can have an important influence on the posterior and the parameter estimation, especially when few data samples are available. To limit the added subjectivity from a priori information, one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Nils Baillie , Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clément Gauchy

Federated Bayesian neural networks require fixing a prior on the model parameters together with a likelihood. Eliciting meaningful priors on the weight space of modern overparameterized models is notoriously difficult, and misspecification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Boning Zhang , Matteo Zecchin , Mingzhao Guo , Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

This study presents a conditional flow matching framework for solving physics-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. In this setting, samples from the joint distribution of inferred variables and measurements are assumed available, while…

Estimating model parameters of a general family of cure models is always a challenging task mainly due to flatness and multimodality of the likelihood function. In this work, we propose a fully Bayesian approach in order to overcome these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Fotios Milienos

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

Multifidelity approximate Bayesian computation (MF-ABC) is a likelihood-free technique for parameter inference that exploits model approximations to significantly increase the speed of ABC algorithms (Prescott and Baker, 2020). Previous…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker