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Randomness is an unavoidable part of training deep learning models, yet something that traditional training data attribution algorithms fail to rigorously account for. They ignore the fact that, due to stochasticity in the initialisation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Bruno Mlodozeniec , Isaac Reid , Sam Power , David Krueger , Murat Erdogdu , Richard E. Turner , Roger Grosse

In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels contain information about the relative order between labels that are not captured by commonly used loss functions such as multicategory cross-entropy. Recently, the preference for unimodal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Jaime S. Cardoso , Ricardo Cruz , Tomé Albuquerque

This note uses a conformal prediction procedure to provide further support on several points discussed by Professor Efron (Efron, 2020) concerning prediction, estimation and IID assumption. It aims to convey the following messages: (1)…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-23 Min-ge Xie , Zheshi Zheng

We study inference on scalar-valued pathwise differentiable targets after adaptive data collection, such as a bandit algorithm. We introduce a novel target-specific condition, directional stability, which is strictly weaker than previously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Zikai Shen , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Arthur Gretton , Koulik Khamaru , Aurélien Bibaut

With the emergence of precision medicine, estimating optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) has attracted tremendous attention in many scientific areas. Most existing literature has focused on finding optimal IDRs that can maximize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Zhengling Qi , Jong-Shi Pang , Yufeng Liu

Model selection has been proven an effective strategy for improving accuracy in time series forecasting applications. However, when dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from selecting the most appropriate forecasting model,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-30 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Evangelos Spiliotis , Christoph Bergmeir

We explore the methodology and theory of reward-directed generation via conditional diffusion models. Directed generation aims to generate samples with desired properties as measured by a reward function, which has broad applications in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-17 Hui Yuan , Kaixuan Huang , Chengzhuo Ni , Minshuo Chen , Mengdi Wang

Existing generalization theories analyze the generalization performance mainly based on the model complexity and training process. The ignorance of the task properties, which results from the widely used IID assumption, makes these theories…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Guanhua Zheng , Jitao Sang , Houqiang Li , Jian Yu , Changsheng Xu

When the underlying conditional density is known, conditional expectations can be computed analytically or numerically. When, however, such knowledge is not available and instead we are given a collection of training data, the goal of this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-19 George V. Moustakides

Since their introduction a year ago, distributional approaches to reinforcement learning (distributional RL) have produced strong results relative to the standard approach which models expected values (expected RL). However, aside from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-22 Clare Lyle , Pablo Samuel Castro , Marc G. Bellemare

In real-world applications, the limited availability of labeled outcomes presents significant challenges for statistical inference due to high collection costs, technical barriers, and other constraints. In this work, we propose a method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Menghan Yi , Yanlin Tang , Huixia Judy Wang

Verification is a key bottleneck in improving inference speed while maintaining distribution fidelity in Speculative Decoding. Recent work has shown that sequence-level verification leads to a higher number of accepted tokens compared to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Yuxuan Zhou , Fei Huang , Heng Li , Fengyi Wu , Tianyu Wang , Jianwei Zhang , Junyang Lin , Zhi-Qi Cheng

Numerous Optimization Algorithms have a time-varying update rule thanks to, for instance, a changing step size, momentum parameter or, Hessian approximation. In this paper, we apply unrolled or automatic differentiation to a time-varying…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-28 Sheheryar Mehmood , Peter Ochs

We study which outcomes are implementable by disclosing coarse statistics of a data-generating process rather than its full distribution. Players observe data whose joint distribution is only partially known: they know the expectations of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-11 Francesco Giordano

Data-driven predictive control methods based on the Willems' fundamental lemma have shown great success in recent years. These approaches use receding horizon predictive control with nonparametric data-driven predictors instead of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-06 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We consider a dynamic model for competition in a social network, where two strategic agents have fixed beliefs and the non-strategic/regular agents adjust their states according to a distributed consensus protocol. We suppose that one…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-05-06 M. Bini , P. Frasca , C. Ravazzi , F. Dabbene

This paper presents the design of a novel distributed algorithm d-IRA for the reachability analysis of linear hybrid automata. Recent work on iterative relaxation abstraction (IRA) is leveraged to distribute the computational problem among…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2007-10-22 Sumit Kumar Jha

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative models for graph generation, yet their use for conditional graph generation remains a fundamental challenge. In particular, guiding diffusion models on graphs under arbitrary reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Victor M. Tenorio , Nicolas Zilberstein , Santiago Segarra , Antonio G. Marques

Designing distributed systems to have predictable performance under high load is difficult because of resource exhaustion, non-linearity, and stochastic behaviour. Timeliness, i.e., delivering results within defined time bounds, is a…