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We develop an efficient numerical method for the probabilistic quantification of the response statistics of nonlinear multi-degree-of-freedom structural systems under extreme forcing events, emphasizing accurate heavy-tail statistics. The…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-06-05 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We introduce a gradient-free data-driven framework for optimizing the power output of a wind farm based on a Bayesian approach and large-eddy simulations. In contrast with conventional wind farm layout optimization strategies, which make…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-02-03 Nikolaos Bempedelis , Luca Magri

We develop a non-parametric procedure for ranking transmission lines in a power system according to the probability that they will overload due to stochastic renewable generation or demand-side load fluctuations, and compare this procedure…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-20 Brendan Patch , Bert Zwart

In the design process of marine structures like offshore wind turbines the long-term distribution of significant wave height needs to be modelled to estimate loads. This is typically done by fitting a translated Weibull distribution to wave…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-14 Andreas F. Haselsteiner , Klaus-Dieter Thoben

Identifying earth pressures on in-service transportation tunnel linings is essential for their health monitoring and performance prediction, particularly in structures that exhibit poor performance. Due to the high costs associated with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Zhiyao Tian , Shunhua Zhou , Anthony Lee , Yao Shan , Bettina Detmann

Power system robustness against high impact low probability events is becoming a major concern. To depict distinct phases of a system response during these disturbances, an irregular polygon model is derived from the conventional trapezoid…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-11 Giritharan Vijay Iswaran , Ramin Vakili , Mojdeh Khorsand

In this study, we present an improved formulation for the wake-added turbulence to enhance the accuracy of intra-farm and farm-to-farm wake modeling through analytical frameworks. Our goal is to address the tendency of a commonly used…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-12-11 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Josephine Perto Justsen , Mahdi Abkar

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-06 Ian Vernon , John Paul Gosling

Wind turbines are often controlled to harvest the maximum power from the wind, which corresponds to the operation at the top of the bell-shaped power coefficient graph. Such a mode of operation may be achieved implementing an extremum…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-21 Alexey Bobtsov , Romeo Ortega , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Rafael Cisneros

In response to the damage to electric power transmission systems caused by typhoon disasters in coastal areas, a planning-targeted resilience assessment framework that considers the impact of multiple factors is established to accurately…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-07 Rui Yang , Yang Li

Failure of earthen slopes is a very recurrent phenomenon, credited mainly due to the excess rainfall and application of surfeit surcharge. However, most of the analyses regarding slope stability were performed without considering the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-07-24 Sumanta Roy , Sourav Sarkar , Manash Chakraborty

Virtual sensing techniques have gained traction in applications to the structural health monitoring of monopile-based offshore wind turbines, as the strain response below the mudline, which is a primary indicator of fatigue damage…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Joanna Zou , Eliz-Mari Lourens , Alice Cicirello

The operation and maintenance costs of wind parks make up a major fraction of a park's overall lifetime costs. They also include opportunity costs of lost revenue from avoidable power generation underperformance. We present a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-04 Angela Meyer , Bernhard Brodbeck

The offshore wind energy is increasingly becoming an attractive source of energy due to having lower environmental impact. Effective operation and maintenance that ensures the maximum availability of the energy generation process using…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Sohag Kabir , Koorosh Aslansefat , Prosanta Gope , Felician Campean , Yiannis Papadopoulos

As offshore wind turbines develop into deepwater operations, accurately quantifying the impact of stochastic excitations in complex sea environments on offshore wind turbines and conducting structural fatigue reliability analysis has become…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-14 Jingyi Ding , Hanshu Chen , Xiaoting Liu , Youssef F. Rashed , Zhuojia Fu

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

Many environmental processes such as rainfall, wind or snowfall are inherently spatial and the modelling of extremes has to take into account that feature. In addition, environmental processes are often attached with an angle, e.g., wind…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Gaspard Tamagny , Mathieu Ribatet

Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

Noise generated by wind turbines is significantly impacted by its propagation in the atmosphere. Hence, for annoyance issues an accurate prediction of sound propagation is critical to determine noise levels around wind turbines. This study…

This paper addresses the topic of condition monitoring of wind turbine blades and presents a learning-based approach to fault detection. The proposed scheme utilises Principal Components Analysis and Autoencoders to derive data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-01 Giovanni Zaniboni , Alessio Dallabona , Johnny Nielsen , Dimitrios Papageorgiou