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This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen

This work describes the theory and the implementation of a new software tool, the "Web Topical Discovery System" (WTDS), which provides an approach to the automatic discovery and selection of new web pages relevant to specific analytical…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2015-07-09 Giancarlo Crocetti

We consider the problem of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical model selection. We identify a set of graphs for which an efficient estimation algorithm exists, and this algorithm is based on thresholding of empirical conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-06 Animashree Anandkumar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Alan. S. Willsky

In this paper, we provide the first practical algorithms with provable guarantees for the problem of inferring the topics assigned to each document in an LDA topic model. This is the primary inference problem for many applications of topic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Adam Breuer

Probabilistic independence is a useful concept for describing the result of random sampling---a basic operation in all probabilistic languages---and for reasoning about groups of random variables. Nevertheless, existing verification methods…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Gilles Barthe , Justin Hsu , Kevin Liao

Simple representations of documents based on the occurrences of terms are ubiquitous in areas like Information Retrieval, and also frequent in Natural Language Processing. In this work we propose a logical-probabilistic approach to the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2011-06-03 Alvaro Francisco Huertas-Rosero , C. J. van Rijsbergen

We study the complexity of satisfiability problems in probabilistic and causal reasoning. Given random variables $X_1, X_2,\ldots$ over finite domains, the basic terms are probabilities of propositional formulas over atomic events $X_i =…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Markus Bläser , Julian Dörfler , Maciej Liśkiewicz , Benito van der Zander

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Ricardo Silva , Richard Scheines , Clark Glymour , Peter L. Spirtes

The major challenge in designing a discriminative learning algorithm for predicting structured data is to address the computational issues arising from the exponential size of the output space. Existing algorithms make different assumptions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-06-29 Shankar Vembu

A general separability condition on the second moment (covariance matrix) for continuous variable two-party systems is derived by an analysis analogous to the derivation of the Kennard's uncertainty relation without referring to the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Kazuo Fujikawa

Identifying causal order from restricted projective data is generally nontrivial. When two quantum players interact only through an unobserved environment, the available local measurement statistics are typically not tomographically…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-07 Masahito Hayashi

We derive novel conditions that guarantee convergence of the Sum-Product algorithm (also known as Loopy Belief Propagation or simply Belief Propagation) to a unique fixed point, irrespective of the initial messages. The computational…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-12-18 Joris M. Mooij , Hilbert J. Kappen

The assumption of separability is a simplifying and very popular assumption in the analysis of spatio-temporal or hypersurface data structures. It is often made in situations where the covariance structure cannot be easily estimated, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-03 Pramita Bagchi , Holger Dette

We study stochastic choice across decision problems, each represented as a menu of action labels paired with observable outcome vectors. We propose a consistency condition for behavior in decision problems composed of two separable…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-18 Fedor Sandomirskiy , Po Hyun Sung , Omer Tamuz , Ben Wincelberg

In topic modeling, many algorithms that guarantee identifiability of the topics have been developed under the premise that there exist anchor words -- i.e., words that only appear (with positive probability) in one topic. Follow-up work has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-16 Kejun Huang , Xiao Fu , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

A randomized algorithm for a search problem is *pseudodeterministic* if it produces a fixed canonical solution to the search problem with high probability. In their seminal work on the topic, Gat and Goldwasser posed as their main open…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Lijie Chen , Zhenjian Lu , Igor C. Oliveira , Hanlin Ren , Rahul Santhanam

Conformal predictors are machine learning algorithms that output prediction sets that have a guarantee of marginal validity for finite samples with minimal distributional assumptions. This is a property that makes conformal predictors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-03 Anthony Bellotti