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Several Artificial Intelligence schemes for reasoning under uncertainty explore either explicitly or implicitly asymmetries among probabilities of various states of their uncertain domain models. Even though the correct working of these…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Marek J. Druzdzel

Probabilistic databases (PDBs) are used to model uncertainty in data in a quantitative way. In the standard formal framework, PDBs are finite probability spaces over relational database instances. It has been argued convincingly that this…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-01-09 Martin Grohe , Peter Lindner

In research policy, effective measures that lead to improvements in the generation of knowledge must be based on reliable methods of research assessment, but for many countries and institutions this is not the case. Publication and citation…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2018-07-20 Alonso Rodriguez-Navarro , Ricardo Brito

Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. A purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 Alan Bundy

Diagnostic testing provides a unique setting for studying and developing tools in classification theory. In such contexts, the concept of prevalence, i.e. the number of individuals with a given condition, is fundamental, both as an inherent…

As animals interact with their environments, they must infer properties of their surroundings. Some animals, including humans, can represent uncertainty about those properties. But when, if ever, do they use probability distributions to…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2024-04-15 Samuel Lippl , Raphael Gerraty , John Morrison , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

When the historical data are limited, the conditional probabilities associated with the nodes of Bayesian networks are uncertain and can be empirically estimated. Second order estimation methods provide a framework for both estimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Conrad D. Hougen , Lance M. Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Alfred O. Hero

Machine learning (ML) is often viewed as a powerful data analysis tool that is easy to learn because of its black-box nature. Yet this very nature also makes it difficult to quantify confidence in predictions extracted from ML models, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Paul Patrone , Anthony Kearsley

Probability distributions can be read as simple expressions of information. Each continuous probability distribution describes how information changes with magnitude. Once one learns to read a probability distribution as a measurement scale…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2016-03-01 Steven A. Frank

We present a domain-theoretic framework for probabilistic programming that provides a constructive definition of conditional probability and addresses computability challenges previously identified in the literature. We introduce a novel…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Pietro Di Gianantonio , Abbas Edalat

Safe control of constrained linear systems under both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is considered. The aleatory uncertainty characterizes random noises and is modeled by a probability distribution function (PDF) and the epistemic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-28 Hamidreza Modares

We exploit qualitative probabilistic relationships among variables for computing bounds of conditional probability distributions of interest in Bayesian networks. Using the signs of qualitative relationships, we can implement abstraction…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Chao-Lin Liu , Michael P. Wellman

This paper presents a Distributed Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm for networks of linear systems with multiplicative uncertainties and local chance constraints on the states and control inputs. The chance constraints are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

Probabilistic forecasts must sum to unity and cannot express ``I don't know.'' Possibility theory relaxes this constraint: a subnormal distribution explicitly measures how much of the plausibility budget remains unassigned, ignorance signal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-03 John R. Lawson

Representing token embeddings as probability distributions over learned manifolds allows for more flexible contextual inference, reducing representational rigidity while enhancing semantic granularity. Comparative evaluations demonstrate…

The framework of algorithmic knowledge assumes that agents use deterministic knowledge algorithms to compute the facts they explicitly know. We extend the framework to allow for randomized knowledge algorithms. We then characterize the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Conditional distributions, as defined by the Markov category framework, are studied in the setting of matrix algebras (quantum systems). Their construction as linear unital maps are obtained via a categorical Bayesian inversion procedure.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-14 Arthur J. Parzygnat

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

This paper discusses a method for implementing a probabilistic inference system based on an extended relational data model. This model provides a unified approach for a variety of applications such as dynamic programming, solving sparse…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Michael S. K. M. Wong , C. J. Butz , Yang Xiang