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Recent research has developed several Monte Carlo methods for estimating the normalization constant (partition function) based on the idea of annealing. This means sampling successively from a path of distributions that interpolate between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-10 Omar Chehab , Aapo Hyvarinen , Andrej Risteski

When dealing with difficult inverse problems such as inverse rendering, using Monte Carlo estimated gradients to optimise parameters can slow down convergence due to variance. Averaging many gradient samples in each iteration reduces this…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Martin Balint , Karol Myszkowski , Hans-Peter Seidel , Gurprit Singh

We consider a simple approach to solving assortment optimization under the random utility maximization model. The approach uses Monte-Carlo simulation to construct a ranking-based choice model that serves as a proxy for the true choice…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-02 Hassaan Khalid , Bradley Sturt

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

A modified Prekopa's approach is considered for the problem of optimum allocation in multivariate stratified random sampling. An example is solved by applying the proposed methodology.

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-25 Jose A. Diaz-Garcia , Rogelio Raos-Quiroga

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

We consider the maximization of a submodular objective function $f:2^U\to\mathbb{R}_{\geq 0}$, where the objective $f$ is not accessed as a value oracle but instead subject to noisy queries. We introduce a versatile adaptive sampling…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Wenjing Chen , Shuo Xing , Victoria G. Crawford

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

We study classification problems where features are corrupted by noise and where the magnitude of the noise in each feature is influenced by the resources allocated to its acquisition. This is the case, for example, when multiple sensors…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-07-12 Oran Richman , Shie Mannor

Optimization algorithms and Monte Carlo sampling algorithms have provided the computational foundations for the rapid growth in applications of statistical machine learning in recent years. There is, however, limited theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Yi-An Ma , Yuansi Chen , Chi Jin , Nicolas Flammarion , Michael I. Jordan

Monte-Carlo (MC) Dropout provides a practical solution for estimating predictive distributions in deterministic neural networks. Traditional dropout, applied within the signal space, may fail to account for frequency-related noise common in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Tal Zeevi , Lawrence H. Staib , John A. Onofrey

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

In large-scale time series forecasting, one often encounters the situation where the temporal patterns of time series, while drifting over time, differ from one another in the same dataset. In this paper, we provably show under such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-14 Yucheng Lu , Youngsuk Park , Lifan Chen , Yuyang Wang , Christopher De Sa , Dean Foster

We introduce a theoretical and practical framework for efficient importance sampling of mini-batch samples for gradient estimation from single and multiple probability distributions. To handle noisy gradients, our framework dynamically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Corentin Salaün , Xingchang Huang , Iliyan Georgiev , Niloy J. Mitra , Gurprit Singh

The energy variance optimization algorithm over a fixed ensemble of configurations in variational Monte Carlo is formally identical to a problem of fitting data: we reexamine it from a statistical maximum-likelihood point of view. We detect…

原子与分子团簇 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Dario Bressanini , Gabriele Morosi , Massimo Mella

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi