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Prediction of breakdown in disordered solids under external loading in a question of paramount importance. Here we use a fiber bundle model for disordered solids and record the time series of the avalanche sizes and energy bursts. The time…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Diksha , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Machine learning methods for computational imaging require uncertainty estimation to be reliable in real settings. While Bayesian models offer a computationally tractable way of recovering uncertainty, they need large data volumes to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-24 Francesco Tonolini , Jack Radford , Alex Turpin , Daniele Faccio , Roderick Murray-Smith

A common shortcoming of vibration-based damage localization techniques is that localized damages, i.e. small cracks, have a limited influence on the spectral characteristics of a structure. In contrast, even the smallest of defects, under…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Charilaos Mylonas , George Tsialiamanis , Keith Worden , Eleni N. Chatzi

A large variety of dynamical systems, such as chemical and biomolecular systems, can be seen as networks of nonlinear entities. Prediction, control, and identification of such nonlinear networks require knowledge of the state of the system.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-27 Aleksandar Haber , Ferenc Molnar , Adilson E. Motter

High-dimensional data with hundreds of thousands of observations are becoming commonplace in many disciplines. The analysis of such data poses many computational challenges, especially when the observations are correlated over time and/or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-08-05 Sylvie Tchumtchoua , David B. Dunson , Jeffrey S. Morris

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

In this paper, a methodology for fine scale modeling of large scale structures is proposed, which combines the variational multiscale method, domain decomposition and model order reduction. The influence of the fine scale on the coarse…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Philipp Diercks , Karen Veroy , Annika Robens-Radermacher , Jörg F. Unger

Now that Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become widely used, an appreciation is developing of just how critical an awareness of the sensitivity and robustness of certain target variables are to changes in the model. When time resources are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-20 Sophia K. Wright , Jim Q. Smith

In this thesis we discuss machine learning methods performing automated variable selection for learning sparse predictive models. There are multiple reasons for promoting sparsity in the predictive models. By relying on a limited set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Magda Gregorova

In this article, we develop a distributed variable screening method for generalized linear models. This method is designed to handle situations where both the sample size and the number of covariates are large. Specifically, the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Tianbo Diao , Lianqiang Qu , Bo Li , Liuquan Sun

We study variable selection (also called support recovery) in high-dimensional sparse linear regression when one has external information on which variables are likely to be associated with the response. Consistent recovery is only possible…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-16 Paul Rognon-Vael , David Rossell , Piotr Zwiernik

In this paper we address the problem of learning the structure of a Bayesian network in domains with continuous variables. This task requires a procedure for comparing different candidate structures. In the Bayesian framework, this is done…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Iftach Nachman

The manifold hypothesis states that high-dimensional data can be modeled as lying on or near a low-dimensional, nonlinear manifold. Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) approximate this manifold by learning mappings from low-dimensional latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Marissa C. Connor , Gregory H. Canal , Christopher J. Rozell

The problem of detecting variance breaks in the case of smooth time-varying variance structure is studied. It is highlighted that the tests based on (piecewise) constant specification of the variance are not able to distinguish between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Ben Hajria Raja , Khardani Salah , Raïssi Hamdi

While much work has explored probabilistic graphical models for independent data, less attention has been paid to time series. The goal in this setting is to determine conditional independence relations between entire time series, which for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-06 Alex Tank , Nicholas Foti , Emily Fox

In high-dimensional settings, sparse structures are critical for efficiency in term of memory and computation complexity. For a linear system, to find the sparsest solution provided with an over-complete dictionary of features directly is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yiping Jiang , Tianshi Chen

Graphical model learning and inference are often performed using Bayesian techniques. In particular, learning is usually performed in two separate steps. First, the graph structure is learned from the data; then the parameters of the model…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-09 Marco Scutari

This study proposes the first Bayesian approach for learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks. The proposed approach iteratively estimates each element of the topological ordering from backward and its parent using the inverse of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Seyong Hwang , Kyoungjae Lee , Sunmin Oh , Gunwoong Park

This paper deals with learning stability of partially observed switched linear systems under arbitrary switching. Such systems are widely used to describe cyber-physical systems which arise by combining physical systems with digital…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-20 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers , Mihály Petreczky , Bo Chen , Li Yu