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While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Over the past decade network theory has been applied successfully to the study of a variety of complex adaptive systems. However, the application of these techniques to non-human social networks has several shortfalls. Firstly, in most…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-03-10 David Lusseau , Hal Whitehead , Shane Gero

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-12 Tim Leathart , Eibe Frank , Bernhard Pfahringer , Geoffrey Holmes

The Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture has enabled the creation of massive yet efficient Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the standard deterministic routing mechanism presents a significant limitation: its inherent brittleness is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Albus Yizhuo Li

The fraud/uncollectible debt problem in the telecommunications industry presents two technical challenges: the detection and the treatment of the account given the detection. In this paper, we focus on the first problem of detection using…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Kazuo J. Ezawa , Til Schuermann

The ranking problem is to order a collection of units by some unobserved parameter, based on observations from the associated distribution. This problem arises naturally in a number of contexts, such as business, where we may want to rank…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Toby Kenney

The diagnosis of cyber-physical systems aims to detect faulty behaviour, its root cause and a mitigation or even prevention policy. Therefore, diagnosis relies on a representation of the system's functional and faulty behaviour combined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Nicolas Olivain , Philipp Tiefenbacher , Jens Kohl

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Applications of machine learning often involve making predictions based on both model outputs and the opinions of human experts. In this context, we investigate the problem of querying experts for class label predictions, using as few human…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Markelle Kelly , Alex Boyd , Sam Showalter , Mark Steyvers , Padhraic Smyth

With the increasing adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems in high-stake domains, such as healthcare, effective collaboration between domain experts and AI is imperative. To facilitate effective collaboration between domain…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Aditya Bhattacharya , Simone Stumpf , Katrien Verbert

For safety, medical AI systems undergo thorough evaluations before deployment, validating their predictions against a ground truth which is assumed to be fixed and certain. However, this ground truth is often curated in the form of…

Tabular datasets are widely used in scientific disciplines such as biology. While these disciplines have already adopted AI methods to enhance their findings and analysis, they mainly use tree-based methods due to their interpretability. At…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Salvatore Raieli , Nathalie Jeanray , Stéphane Gerart , Sebastien Vachenc , Abdulrahman Altahhan

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Experts advising decision-makers are likely to display expertise which varies as a function of the problem instance. In practice, this may lead to sub-optimal or discriminatory decisions against minority cases. In this work we model such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Axel Abels , Tom Lenaerts , Vito Trianni , Ann Nowé

Data collected from arrays of sensors are essential for informed decision-making in various systems. However, the presence of anomalies can compromise the accuracy and reliability of insights drawn from the collected data or information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Katie Buchhorn , Kerrie Mengersen , Edgar Santos-Fernandez , James McGree

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

Data-based mathematical modeling of biochemical reaction networks, e.g. by nonlinear ordinary differential equation (ODE) models, has been successfully applied. In this context, parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis is a major task…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2014-09-02 Christian Tönsing , Jens Timmer , Clemens Kreutz

Bayesian inference allows the transparent communication of uncertainty in material flow analyses (MFAs), and a systematic update of uncertainty as new data become available. However, the method is undermined by the difficultly of defining…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Jiayuan Dong , Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Bayesian optimization has been successfully applied throughout Chemical Engineering for the optimization of functions that are expensive-to-evaluate, or where gradients are not easily obtainable. However, domain experts often possess…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Tom Savage , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio Chanona