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We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

Complex multivariate time series arise in many fields, ranging from computer vision to robotics or medicine. Often we are interested in the independent underlying factors that give rise to the high-dimensional data we are observing. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Simon Bing , Vincent Fortuin , Gunnar Rätsch

We study structure learning for linear Gaussian SEMs in the presence of latent confounding. Existing continuous methods excel when errors are independent, while deconfounding-first pipelines rely on pervasive factor structure or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Samhita Pal , James O'quinn , Kaveh Aryan , Heather Pua , James P. Long , Amir Asiaee

Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Ilya Shpitser , Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

We investigate the representation of hierarchical models in terms of marginals of other hierarchical models with smaller interactions. We focus on binary variables and marginals of pairwise interaction models whose hidden variables are…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Guido Montufar , Johannes Rauh

We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

We propose to address the task of causal structure learning from data in a supervised manner. Existing work on learning causal directions by supervised learning is restricted to learning pairwise relation, and not well suited for whole DAG…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Hebi Li , Qi Xiao , Jin Tian

Recent work on causal abstraction, in particular graphical approaches focusing on causal structure between clusters of variables, aims to summarize a high-dimensional causal structure in terms of a low-dimensional one. Existing methods for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Francisco Madaleno , Francisco C Pereira , Alex Markham

Graphical modeling explores dependences among a collection of variables by inferring a graph that encodes pairwise conditional independences. For jointly Gaussian variables, this translates into detecting the support of the precision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-16 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa , Mathias Drton

Latent variable models provide a powerful framework for incorporating and inferring unobserved factors in observational data. In causal inference, they help account for hidden factors influencing treatment or outcome, thereby addressing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Tetsuro Morimura , Tatsushi Oka , Yugo Suzuki , Daisuke Moriwaki

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Hierarchical models for regionally aggregated disease incidence data commonly involve region specific latent random effects that are modeled jointly as having a multivariate Gaussian distribution. The covariance or precision matrix…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Abhirup Datta , Sudipto Banerjee , James S. Hodges

Our concern is selecting the concentration matrix's nonzero coefficients for a sparse Gaussian graphical model in a high-dimensional setting. This corresponds to estimating the graph of conditional dependencies between the variables. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-04-05 Christophe Ambroise , Julien Chiquet , Catherine Matias

Discovering latent representations of the observed world has become increasingly more relevant in data analysis. Much of the effort concentrates on building latent variables which can be used in prediction problems, such as classification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-01-08 Ricardo Silva

Ordinal variables, such as on the Likert scale, are common in applied research. Yet, existing methods for causal inference tend to target nominal or continuous data. When applied to ordinal data, this fails to account for the inherent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Martina Scauda , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

We describe discrete restricted Boltzmann machines: probabilistic graphical models with bipartite interactions between visible and hidden discrete variables. Examples are binary restricted Boltzmann machines and discrete naive Bayes models.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-23 Guido Montufar , Jason Morton

Decomposable graphical models, also known as perfect DAG models, play a fundamental role in standard approaches to probabilistic inference via graph representations in modern machine learning and statistics. However, such models are limited…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-14 Eliana Duarte , Liam Solus

Deterministic variables are variables that are fully explained by one or more parent variables. They commonly arise when a variable has been algebraically constructed from one or more parent variables, as with composite variables, and in…