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相关论文: Transient Reward Approximation for Continuous-Time…

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Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is the first theory for decision-making under uncertainty that combines full theoretical soundness and empirically realistic features [P.P. Wakker - Prospect theory: For risk and ambiguity, Page 2]. While…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Thomas Brihaye , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Stefanie Mohr , Maximilian Weininger

Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) are popular modeling formalism that constitutes the underlying semantics for real-time probabilistic systems such as queuing networks, stochastic process algebras, and calculi for systems biology. Prism…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 Giovanni Bacci , Anna Ingólfsdóttir , Kim G. Larsen , Raphaël Reynouard

We consider a finite number of $N$ statistically equal agents, each moving on a finite set of states according to a continuous-time Markov Decision Process (MDP). Transition intensities of the agents and generated rewards depend not only on…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Sebastian Höfer

In this paper, we show the convergence rates of posterior distributions of the model dynamics in a MDP for both episodic and continuous tasks. The theoretical results hold for general state and action space and the parameter space of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Zhen Li , Eric Laber

In this paper, we investigate the concentration properties of cumulative reward in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), focusing on both asymptotic and non-asymptotic settings. We introduce a unified approach to characterize reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Borna Sayedana , Peter E. Caines , Aditya Mahajan

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Long-run average rewards provide a mathematically elegant formalism for expressing long term performance. Value iteration (VI)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-09-01 Pranav Ashok , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Przemyslaw Daca , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

Analyses of serially-sampled data often begin with the assumption that the observations represent discrete samples from a latent continuous-time stochastic process. The continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is one such generative model whose…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-10-12 Asger Hobolth , Eric A. Stone

This paper studies the expected value of multiplicative rewards, where rewards obtained in each step are multiplied (instead of the usual addition), in Markov chains (MCs) and Markov decision processes (MDPs). One of the key differences to…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Christel Baier , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Tobias Meggendorfer , Jakob Piribauer

Markov decision processes (MDP) and continuous-time MDP (CTMDP) are the fundamental models for non-deterministic systems with probabilistic uncertainty. Mean payoff (a.k.a. long-run average reward) is one of the most classic objectives…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-06 Chaitanya Agarwal , Shibashis Guha , Jan Křetínský , M. Pazhamalai

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are used to model a wide variety of applications ranging from game playing over robotics to finance. Their optimal policy typically maximizes the expected sum of rewards given at each step of the decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Maximilian Nägele , Jan Olle , Thomas Fösel , Remmy Zen , Florian Marquardt

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

Contextual Markov decision processes (CMDPs) describe a class of reinforcement learning problems in which the transition kernels and reward functions can change over time with different MDPs indexed by a context variable. While CMDPs serve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Junze Deng , Yuan Cheng , Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang

We study and develop the stochastic Markov reward model (sMRM), which extends the Markov chain where transition time/reward as modelled as random variables. Techniques are presented to enable computing first-passage time distributions (or…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-08-16 Irfan Muhammad

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Markov decision processes are typically used for sequential decision making under uncertainty. For many aspects however, ranging from constrained or safe specifications to various kinds of temporal (non-Markovian) dependencies in task and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Nicky Lenaers , Martijn van Otterlo

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

Constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) are used as a decision-making framework to study the long-run performance of a stochastic system. It is well-known that a stationary optimal policy of a CMDP problem under discounted cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-02 V Varagapriya , Vikas Vikram Singh , Abdel Lisser
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