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In this paper, we consider multistopping problems for finite discrete time sequences $X_1,...,X_n$. $m$-stops are allowed and the aim is to maximize the expected value of the best of these $m$ stops. The random variables are neither assumed…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-04 Andreas Faller , Ludger Rüschendorf

Under very general conditions the hitting time of a set by a stochastic process is a stopping time. We give a new simple proof of this fact. The section theorems for optional and predictable sets are easy corollaries of the proof.

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-28 Richard F. Bass

In this paper, we consider the optimal stopping problem on semi-Markov processes (SMPs) with finite horizon, and aim to establish the existence and computation of optimal stopping times. To achieve the goal, we first develop the main…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-16 Fang Chen , Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

In this paper we study randomized optimal stopping problems and consider corresponding forward and backward Monte Carlo based optimisation algorithms. In particular we prove the convergence of the proposed algorithms and derive the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-05 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

We study the optimal multiple stopping time problem defined for each stopping time $S$ by $v(S)=\operatorname {ess}\sup_{\tau_1,...,\tau_d\geq S}E[\psi(\tau_1,...,\tau_d)|\mathcal{F}_S]$. The key point is the construction of a new reward…

Under non-exponential discounting, we develop a dynamic theory for stopping problems in continuous time. Our framework covers discount functions that induce decreasing impatience. Due to the inherent time inconsistency, we look for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-13 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

We construct subgame-perfect equilibria with mixed strategies for symmetric stochastic timing games with arbitrary strategic incentives. The strategies are qualitatively different for local first- or second-mover advantages, which we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-23 Jan-Henrik Steg

This paper presents an equivalence theorem for three different kinds of optimal control problems, which are optimal target control problems, optimal norm control problems and optimal time control problems. Controlled systems in this study…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-10-21 Gengsheng Wang , Yashan Xu

We introduce a new non-zero-sum game of optimal stopping with asymmetric exercise opportunities. Given a stochastic process modelling the value of an asset, one player observes and can act on the process continuously, while the other player…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-16 José Luis Pérez , Neofytos Rodosthenous , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

A \emph{new} notion of equilibrium, which we call \emph{strong equilibrium}, is introduced for time-inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time. Compared to the existing notions introduced in ArXiv: 1502.03998 and ArXiv: 1709.05181,…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Jingjie Zhang , Zhou Zhou

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We study the optimal stopping problem of maximizing the variance of an unkilled linear diffusion. Especially, we demonstrate how the problem can be solved as a convex two-player zero-sum game, and reveal quite surprising application of game…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-25 Kamille Sofie Tågholt Gad , Pekka Matomäki

We consider concurrent stochastic games played on graphs with reachability and safety objectives. These games can be solved by value iteration as well as strategy iteration, each of them yielding a sequence of under-approximations of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-19 Julia Eisentraut , Jan Křetínský , Alexej Rotar

We study a robust optimal stopping problem with respect to a set $\cP$ of mutually singular probabilities. This can be interpreted as a zero-sum controller-stopper game in which the stopper is trying to maximize its pay-off while an adverse…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-12 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

In this paper we consider a method of solving optimal stopping problems in discrete and continuous time based on their dual representation. A novel and generic simulation-based optimization algorithm not involving nested simulations is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-10 Denis Belomestny

We prove that every two-player non-zero-sum Dynkin game in continuous time admits an epsilon-equilibrium in randomized stopping times. We provide a condition that ensures the existence of an epsilon-equilibrium in non-randomized stopping…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-29 Rida Laraki , Eilon Solan

For a discrete time Markov chain and in line with Strotz' consistent planning we develop a framework for problems of optimal stopping that are time-inconsistent due to the consideration of a non-linear function of an expected reward. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-23 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

We consider the non-linear optimal multiple stopping problem under general conditions on the non-linear evaluation operators, which might depend on two time indices: the time of evaluation/assessment and the horizon (when the reward or loss…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-21 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez , Peng Yuan

We provide a characterization of an optimal stopping time for a class of finite horizon time-inconsistent optimal stopping problems (OSPs) of mean-field type, adapted to the Brownian filtration, including those related to mean-field…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-20 Boualem Djehiche , Mattia Martini