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Assessing variability according to distinct factors in data is a fundamental technique of statistics. The method commonly regarded to as analysis of variance (ANOVA) is, however, typically confined to the case where all levels of a factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-15 Steven Geinitz , Reinhard Furrer

The width of a neural network matters since increasing the width will necessarily increase the model capacity. However, the performance of a network does not improve linearly with the width and soon gets saturated. In this case, we argue…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-07 Shuai Zhao , Liguang Zhou , Wenxiao Wang , Deng Cai , Tin Lun Lam , Yangsheng Xu

We describe a simple method that utilises the standard idea of bias-variance trade-off to improve the expected accuracy of numerical model forecasts of future climate. The method can be thought of as an optimal multi-model combination…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Stephen Jewson , Ed Hawkins

We consider an ordinary differential equation with a unique hyperbolic attractor at the origin, to which we add a small random perturbation. It is known that under general conditions, the solution of this stochastic differential equation…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Milton Jara

In resource limited computing systems, sequence prediction models must operate under tight constraints. Various models are available that cater to prediction under these conditions that in some way focus on reducing the cost of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-09 Arjun Karuvally , J. Eliot B. Moss

We discuss fitting correlated data - with the example of hadron mass spectroscopy in mind. The main conclusion is that the method of minimising correlated $\chi^2$ is unreliable if the data sample is too small.

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2008-11-26 C. Michael

The paper considers the problem of multi-objective decision support when outcomes are uncertain. We extend the concept of Pareto-efficient decisions to take into account the uncertainty of decision outcomes across varying contexts. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

In this work, we consider the problem of synchronizing two sets of data where the size of the symmetric difference between the sets is small and, in addition, the elements in the symmetric difference are related through the Hamming distance…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-09-14 Ryan Gabrys , Farzad Farnoud

Rating systems are ubiquitous, with applications ranging from product recommendation to teaching evaluations. Confidence intervals for functionals of rating data such as empirical means or quantiles are critical to decision-making in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-10 Robert Nowak , Ervin Tánczos

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is an important problem across many domains. In order to accurately estimate such treatment effects, one typically relies on data from observational studies or randomized experiments. Currently,…

The ``impossibility theorem'' -- which is considered foundational in algorithmic fairness literature -- asserts that there must be trade-offs between common notions of fairness and performance when fitting statistical models, except in two…

One significant challenge to scaling entity resolution algorithms to massive datasets is understanding how performance changes after moving beyond the realm of small, manually labeled reference datasets. Unlike traditional machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-15 Matt Barnes , Kyle Miller , Artur Dubrawski

The computational complexity of reasoning within the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is one of the main points of criticism this formalism has to face. To overcome this difficulty various approximation algorithms have been suggested that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Mathias Bauer

We propose a new, generic and flexible methodology for nonparametric function estimation, in which we first estimate the number and locations of any features that may be present in the function, and then estimate the function parametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The law of large numbers extends to random sets by employing Minkowski addition. Above that, a central limit theorem is available for set-valued random variables. The existing results use abstract isometries to describe convergence of the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-22 Alois Pichler

In modern scientific research, the objective is often to identify which variables are associated with an outcome among a large class of potential predictors. This goal can be achieved by selecting variables in a manner that controls the the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-10 Yushu Shi , Michael Martens

Predicting the winner of an election is a favorite problem both for news media pundits and computational social choice theorists. Since it is often infeasible to elicit the preferences of all the voters in a typical prediction scenario, a…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-21 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Palash Dey

Maximum likelihood estimators are often of limited practical use due to the intensive computation they require. We propose a family of alternative estimators that maximize a stochastic variation of the composite likelihood function. Each of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-03-04 Joshua V Dillon , Guy Lebanon

Renyi's "thinning" operation on a discrete random variable is a natural discrete analog of the scaling operation for continuous random variables. The properties of thinning are investigated in an information-theoretic context, especially in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2010-08-17 Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Fano's inequality is one of the most elementary, ubiquitous, and important tools in information theory. Using majorization theory, Fano's inequality is generalized to a broad class of information measures, which contains those of Shannon…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Yuta Sakai