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相关论文: Selecting Computations: Theory and Applications

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We study an original problem of pure exploration in a strategic bandit model motivated by Monte Carlo Tree Search. It consists in identifying the best action in a game, when the player may sample random outcomes of sequentially chosen pairs…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-16 Aurélien Garivier , Emilie Kaufmann , Wouter Koolen

Algorithm selection is typically based on models of algorithm performance, learned during a separate offline training sequence, which can be prohibitively expensive. In recent work, we adopted an online approach, in which a performance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-31 Matteo Gagliolo , Juergen Schmidhuber

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning is a formally elegant approach to learning optimal behaviour under model uncertainty, trading off exploration and exploitation in an ideal way. Unfortunately, finding the resulting Bayes-optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Arthur Guez , David Silver , Peter Dayan

A wide range of machine learning algorithms iteratively add data to the training sample. Examples include semi-supervised learning, active learning, multi-armed bandits, and Bayesian optimization. We embed this kind of data addition into…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Julian Rodemann

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

Consider the problem of finding a population or a probability distribution amongst many with the largest mean when these means are unknown but population samples can be simulated or otherwise generated. Typically, by selecting largest…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-11 Peter Glynn , Sandeep Juneja

Many efficient algorithms with strong theoretical guarantees have been proposed for the contextual multi-armed bandit problem. However, applying these algorithms in practice can be difficult because they require domain expertise to build…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Ryan McNellis , Sechan Oh , Marek Petrik

We consider the problem of sequentially choosing between a set of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators to minimize the mean-squared-error (MSE) of a final combined estimate. By reducing this task to a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-05-15 James Neufeld , András György , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvári

One critical challenge for large language models (LLMs) for making complex reasoning is their reliance on matching reasoning patterns from training data, instead of proactively selecting the most appropriate cognitive strategy to solve a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Qin Liu , Wenxuan Zhou , Nan Xu , James Y. Huang , Fei Wang , Sheng Zhang , Hoifung Poon , Muhao Chen

The Markov Decision Process (MDP) is a popular framework for sequential decision-making problems, and uncertainty quantification is an essential component of it to learn optimal decision-making strategies. In particular, a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Jiaqi Guo , Chon Wai Ho , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We extend Bayesian multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms beyond their original setting by making use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. A MAB is a sequential decision making problem where the goal is to learn a policy that maximizes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Iñigo Urteaga , Chris H. Wiggins

Online solvers for partially observable Markov decision processes have difficulty scaling to problems with large action spaces. Monte Carlo tree search with progressive widening attempts to improve scaling by sampling from the action space…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 John Mern , Anil Yildiz , Zachary Sunberg , Tapan Mukerji , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Policy inference plays an essential role in the contextual bandit problem. In this paper, we use empirical likelihood to develop a Bayesian inference method for the joint analysis of multiple contextual bandit policies in finite sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jiangrong Ouyang , Mingming Gong , Howard Bondell

Bayesian optimization methods allocate limited sampling budgets to maximize expensive-to-evaluate functions. One-step-lookahead policies are often used, but computing optimal multi-step-lookahead policies remains a challenge. We consider a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-07-13 J. Massey Cashore , Lemuel Kumarga , Peter I. Frazier

Although the classical version of the Multi-Armed Bandits (MAB) framework has been applied successfully to several practical problems, in many real-world applications, the possible actions are not presented to the learner simultaneously,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-01 Marco Gabrielli , Francesco Trovò , Manuela Antonelli

This research considers the ranking and selection (R&S) problem of selecting the optimal subset from a finite set of alternative designs. Given the total simulation budget constraint, we aim to maximize the probability of correctly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-04-25 Fei Gao , Zhongshun Shi , Siyang Gao , Hui Xiao

Sequential decision making under uncertainty is studied in a mixed observability domain. The goal is to maximize the amount of information obtained on a partially observable stochastic process under constraints imposed by a fully observable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-03-16 Mikko Lauri , Risto Ritala

In this report we review memory-based meta-learning as a tool for building sample-efficient strategies that learn from past experience to adapt to any task within a target class. Our goal is to equip the reader with the conceptual…

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko