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Activity profiles of terrorist groups show frequent spurts and downfalls corresponding to changes in the underlying organizational dynamics. In particular, it is of interest in understanding changes in attributes such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-04-08 Vasanthan Raghavan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

Cyber threat intelligence is one of the emerging areas of focus in information security. Much of the recent work has focused on rule-based methods and detection of network attacks using Intrusion Detection algorithms. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Soham Deshmukh , Rahul Rade , Faruk Kazi

It is important to predict any adversarial attacks and their types to enable effective defense systems. Often it is hard to label such activities as malicious ones without adequate analytical reasoning. We propose the use of Hidden Markov…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-06-04 Shuvalaxmi Dass , Prerit Datta , Akbar Siami Namin

Characterizing the sleep-wake cycle in adolescents is an important prerequisite to better understand the association of abnormal sleep patterns with subsequent clinical and behavioral outcomes. The aim of this research was to develop hidden…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Semhar B. Ogbagaber , Yifan Cui , Kaigang Li , Ronald J. Iannotti , Paul S. Albert

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

Data analysts are essential in organizations, transforming raw data into insights that drive decision-making and strategy. This study explores how analysts' productivity evolves on a collaborative platform, focusing on two key learning…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Yue Yin

Analysis of sequential event data has been recognized as one of the essential tools in data modeling and analysis field. In this paper, after the examination of its technical requirements and issues to model complex but practical situation,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-08-21 Hiromi Narimatsu , Hiroyuki Kasai

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

Over the last decade, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have become increasingly popular in statistical ecology, where they constitute natural tools for studying animal behavior based on complex sensor data. Corresponding analyses sometimes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Jan-Ole Koslik , Carlina C. Feldmann , Sina Mews , Rouven Michels , Roland Langrock

The impact of randomness on model training is poorly understood. How do differences in data order and initialization actually manifest in the model, such that some training runs outperform others or converge faster? Furthermore, how can we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Michael Y. Hu , Angelica Chen , Naomi Saphra , Kyunghyun Cho

Information seeking process is an important topic in information seeking behavior research. Both qualitative and empirical methods have been adopted in analyzing information seeking processes, with major focus on uncovering the latent…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2013-04-09 Shuguang Han , Zhen Yue , Daqing He

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

1. Electronic telemetry is frequently used to document animal movement through time. Methods that can identify underlying behaviors driving specific movement patterns can help us understand how and why animals use available space, thereby…

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

Recent studies have proposed that one can summarize brain activity into dynamics among a relatively small number of hidden states and that such an approach is a promising tool for revealing brain function. Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are a…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2021-09-02 Takahiro Ezaki , Yu Himeno , Takamitsu Watanabe , Naoki Masuda

There are many situations in which it would be beneficial for a robot to have predictive abilities similar to those of rational humans. Some of these situations include collaborative robots, robots in adversarial situations, and for dynamic…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2014-12-02 Alan J. Hamlet , Carl D. Crane

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski
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