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When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

Many control tasks can be formulated as a tracking problem of a known or unknown reference signal. Examples are movement compensation in collaborative robotics, the synchronisation of oscillations for power systems or reference tracking of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-26 Janine Matschek , Andreas Himmel , Kai Sundmacher , Rolf Findeisen

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely known data, however many datasets have uncertainties which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-09 Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

A significant portion of the effort involved in advanced process control, process analytics, and machine learning involves acquiring and preparing data. Literature often emphasizes increasingly complex modelling techniques with incremental…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-07 Lim C. Siang , Shams Elnawawi , Lee D. Rippon , Daniel L. O'Connor , R. Bhushan Gopaluni

Machine learning models are routinely integrated into process mining pipelines to carry out tasks like data transformation, noise reduction, anomaly detection, classification, and prediction. Often, the design of such models is based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Paolo Ceravolo , Sylvio Barbon Junior , Ernesto Damiani , Wil van der Aalst

Predicting the behavior of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving. Most researchers however do not consider contextual knowledge when predicting vehicle motion. Extending…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Florian Wirthmüller , Julian Schlechtriemen , Jochen Hipp , Manfred Reichert

In program synthesis, we transform a specification into a program that is guaranteed to satisfy the specification. In synthesis of reactive systems, the environment in which the program operates may behave nondeterministically, e.g., by…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2013-07-25 Ron van der Meyden , Moshe Y. Vardi

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Christian Schlauch , Nadja Klein , Christian Wirth

The use of historical estimates in current studies is common in a wide variety of application areas. Nevertheless, despite their routine use the uncertainty associated with historical estimates is rarely properly accounted for in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Ori Davidov , Tamas Rudas

This paper investigates the data-driven predictive control problems for a class of continuous-time industrial processes with completely unknown dynamics. The proposed approach employs the data-driven technique to get the system matrices…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-08 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Prescriptive business process monitoring provides decision support to process managers on when and how to adapt an ongoing business process to prevent or mitigate an undesired process outcome. We focus on the problem of automatically…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Andreas Metzger , Tristan Kley , Aristide Rothweiler , Klaus Pohl

Forecasting future outcomes from recent time series data is not easy, especially when the future data are different from the past (i.e. time series are under temporal drifts). Existing approaches show limited performances under data drifts,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Jaehoon Lee , Chan Kim , Gyumin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Sanghyun Hong , Noseong Park

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

Data-driven optimization uses contextual information and machine learning algorithms to find solutions to decision problems with uncertain parameters. While a vast body of work is dedicated to interpreting machine learning models in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-21 Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

A large collection of time series poses significant challenges for classical and neural forecasting approaches. Classical time series models fail to fit data well and to scale to large problems, but succeed at providing uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola

Sparse and irregularly sampled multivariate time series are common in clinical, climate, financial and many other domains. Most recent approaches focus on classification, regression or forecasting tasks on such data. In forecasting, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Shivam Srivastava , Prithviraj Sen , Berthold Reinwald