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Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be useful for decision-making or discovering causal relationships. However, traditional methods often fail in modern applications, which exhibit a larger number of observed variables than data…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick , Caroline Uhler

We characterize probabilities in Bayesian networks in terms of algebraic expressions called quasi-probabilities. These are arrived at by casting Bayesian networks as noisy AND-OR-NOT networks, and viewing the subnetworks that lead to a node…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Lenhart Schubert

We give methods for Bayesian inference of directed acyclic graphs, DAGs, and the induced causal effects from passively observed complete data. Our methods build on a recent Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme for learning Bayesian networks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-19 Jussi Viinikka , Antti Hyttinen , Johan Pensar , Mikko Koivisto

A distributed network is modeled by a graph having $n$ nodes (processors) and diameter $D$. We study the time complexity of approximating {\em weighted} (undirected) shortest paths on distributed networks with a $O(\log n)$ {\em bandwidth…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-05-23 Danupon Nanongkai

The structure of a Bayesian network encodes most of the information about the probability distribution of the data, which is uniquely identified given some general distributional assumptions. Therefore it's important to study the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-15 Marco Scutari

The paper presents a scheme for computing lower and upper bounds on the posterior marginals in Bayesian networks with discrete variables. Its power lies in its ability to use any available scheme that bounds the probability of evidence or…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-17 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter , Emma Rollon

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

Recent work has shown that the prior over functions induced by a deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) behaves as a Gaussian process (GP) as the width of all layers becomes large. However, many BNN applications are concerned with the BNN…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Jiri Hron , Yasaman Bahri , Roman Novak , Jeffrey Pennington , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the inference network is particularly prone to overfitting, and…

Travel time tomography for the velocity structure of a medium is a highly non-linear and non-unique inverse problem. Monte Carlo methods are becoming increasingly common choices to provide probabilistic solutions to tomographic problems but…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-05-08 Stephanie Earp , Andrew Curtis

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

We recapitulate the Bayesian formulation of neural network based classifiers and show that, while sampling from the posterior does indeed lead to better generalisation than is obtained by standard optimisation of the cost function, even…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Robert J. N. Baldock , Nicola Marzari

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

We introduce a principled approach for unsupervised structure learning of deep neural networks. We propose a new interpretation for depth and inter-layer connectivity where conditional independencies in the input distribution are encoded…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Guy Koren , Gal Novik

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method for estimating architectural parameters of neural networks, namely layer size and network depth. We do this by learning concrete distributions over these parameters. Our results show that regular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Georgi Dikov , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

We present a hybrid constraint-based/Bayesian algorithm for learning causal networks in the presence of sparse data. The algorithm searches the space of equivalence classes of models (essential graphs) using a heuristic based on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

Learning a Bayesian networks with bounded treewidth is important for reducing the complexity of the inferences. We present a novel anytime algorithm (k-MAX) method for this task, which scales up to thousands of variables. Through extensive…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-02-08 Mauro Scanagatta , Giorgio Corani , Marco Zaffalon , Jaemin Yoo , U Kang

A Bayesian treatment of latent directed graph structure for non-iid data is provided where each child datum is sampled with a directed conditional dependence on a single unknown parent datum. The latent graph structure is assumed to lie in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Tony S. Jebara

For exponentially distributed lifetimes, we consider the prediction of future order statistics based on having observed the first $m$ order statistics. We focus on the previously less explored aspects of predicting: (i) an arbitrary pair of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Akbar Asgharzadeh , Éric Marchand , Ali Saadati Nik