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A spectral approach to Bayesian inference is presented. It pursues the emulation of the posterior probability density. The starting point is a series expansion of the likelihood function in terms of orthogonal polynomials. From this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-27 Joseph B. Nagel , Bruno Sudret

Selection functions are vital for understanding the observational biases of spectroscopic surveys. With the wide variety of multi-object spectrographs currently in operation and becoming available soon, we require easily generalisable…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2020-02-07 Andrew Everall , Payel Das

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

Typical Bayesian inference requires parameter identification via likelihood parameterization, which has invited criticism for being less flexible than the Frequentist framework and subject to misspecification. Though misspecification may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Vivian Y. Meng , David A. Stephens

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed. Simulation-based inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Linnea M Wolniewicz , Peter Sadowski , Claudio Corti

A common problem in disciplines of applied Statistics research such as Astrostatistics is of estimating the posterior distribution of relevant parameters. Typically, the likelihoods for such models are computed via expensive experiments…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Jeff Schneider , Barnabás Póczos

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Inference for locally stationary processes is often based on some local Whittle-type approximation of the likelihood function defined in the frequency domain. The main reasons for using such a likelihood approximation is that i) it has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) can be viewed as an analytic approximation of an intractable likelihood coupled with an elementary simulation step. Such a view, combined with a suitable instrumental prior distribution permits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-04 F. J. Rubio , Adam M. Johansen

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is now an established technique for statistical inference used in cases where the likelihood function is computationally expensive or not available. It relies on the use of a~model that is specified in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Richard G. Everitt , Paulina A. Rowińska

This paper deals with some computational aspects in the Bayesian analysis of statistical models with intractable normalizing constants. In the presence of intractable normalizing constants in the likelihood function, traditional MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-04-22 Yves Atchade , Nicolas Lartillot , Christian P. Robert

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

This article surveys computational methods for posterior inference with intractable likelihoods, that is where the likelihood function is unavailable in closed form, or where evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible. We review recent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Matthew T. Moores , Anthony N. Pettitt , Kerrie Mengersen

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah