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As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

In order to handle large data sets omnipresent in modern science, efficient compression algorithms are necessary. Here, a Bayesian data compression (BDC) algorithm that adapts to the specific measurement situation is derived in the context…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-03-01 Johannes Harth-Kitzerow , Reimar Leike , Philipp Arras , Torsten A. Enßlin

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) refers to a family of inference methods used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is difficult. Conventional ABC methods often suffer from the curse of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-07-08 Jingjing Li , David J. Nott , Yanan Fan , Scott A. Sisson

Industrial image anomaly detection is a challenging problem owing to extreme class imbalance and the scarcity of labeled defective samples, particularly in few-shot settings. We propose BayPrAnoMeta, a Bayesian generalization of Proto-MAML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Soham Sarkar , Tanmay Sen , Sayantan Banerjee

The standard approach to Bayesian inference is based on the assumption that the distribution of the data belongs to the chosen model class. However, even a small violation of this assumption can have a large impact on the outcome of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Jeffrey W. Miller , David B. Dunson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

This article focuses on the supervised classification of datasets with a large number of variables and a small number of instances. This is the case, for example, for microarray data sets commonly used in bioinformatics. Complex classifiers…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-11-23 Pablo Torrijos , José A. Gámez , José M. Puerta

Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical method for post-processing forecast ensembles of atmospheric variables, obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models, in order to create calibrated predictive probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-09 Sándor Baran

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Stream classification methods classify a continuous stream of data as new labelled samples arrive. They often also have to deal with concept drift. This paper focuses on seasonal drift in stream classification, which can be found in many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Rakshitha Godahewa , Trevor Yann , Christoph Bergmeir , Francois Petitjean

This paper deals with the identification of linear stochastic dynamical systems, where the unknowns include system coefficients and noise variances. Conventional approaches that rely on the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) require…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Yaakov Bar-Shalom

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

The application of artificial intelligence (AI) models in fields such as engineering is limited by the known difficulty of quantifying the reliability of an AI's decision. A well-calibrated AI model must correctly report its accuracy on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

When model uncertainty is handled by Bayesian model averaging (BMA) or Bayesian model selection (BMS), the posterior distribution possesses a desirable "oracle property" for parametric inference, if for large enough data it is nearly as…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-05 Wenxin Jiang , Cheng Li

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

This article studies Bayesian model averaging (BMA) in the context of competing expensive computer models in a typical nuclear physics setup. While it is well known that BMA accounts for the additional uncertainty of the model itself, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Vojtech Kejzlar , Léo Neufcourt , Taps Maiti , Frederi Viens

Machine Learning models should ideally be compact and robust. Compactness provides efficiency and comprehensibility whereas robustness provides resilience. Both topics have been studied in recent years but in isolation. Here we present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Omri Armstrong , Ran Gilad-Bachrach