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相关论文: Detecting low-complexity unobserved causes

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Suppose we are interested in the effect of variable $X$ on variable $Y$. If $X$ and $Y$ both influence, or are associated with variables that influence, a common outcome, called a collider, then conditioning on the collider (or on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-13 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Allan Dafoe , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

We study the problem of deriving policies, or rules, that when enacted on a complex system, cause a desired outcome. Absent the ability to perform controlled experiments, such rules have to be inferred from past observations of the system's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Kailash Budhathoki , Mario Boley , Jilles Vreeken

The assumption of independence between observations (units) in a dataset is prevalent across various methodologies for learning causal graphical models. However, this assumption often finds itself in conflict with real-world data, posing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

We consider graphical models based on a recursive system of linear structural equations. This implies that there is an ordering, $\sigma$, of the variables such that each observed variable $Y_v$ is a linear function of a variable specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-28 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy

We present a unified framework for studying the identifiability of representations learned from simultaneously observed views, such as different data modalities. We allow a partially observed setting in which each view constitutes a…

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

In the univariate case, we show that by comparing the individual complexities of univariate cause and effect, one can identify the cause and the effect, without considering their interaction at all. In our framework, complexities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Tomer Galanti , Ofir Nabati , Lior Wolf

Causal inference is often portrayed as fundamentally distinct from predictive modeling, with its own terminology, goals, and intellectual challenges. But at its core, causal inference is simply a structured instance of prediction under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Carlos Fernández-Loría

Complex system arises as a result of the nonlinear interactions between components. In particular, the evolutionary dynamics of a multivariate system encodes the ways in which different variables interact with each other individually or in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-04-22 Peishi Jiang , Praveen Kumar

Factor analysis is a statistical technique that explains correlations among observed random variables with the help of a smaller number of unobserved factors. In traditional full factor analysis, each observed variable is influenced by…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-09 Mathias Drton , Alexandros Grosdos , Irem Portakal , Nils Sturma

The problem of inferring the direct causal parents of a response variable among a large set of explanatory variables is of high practical importance in many disciplines. However, established approaches often scale at least exponentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Ashkan Soleymani , Anant Raj , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michel Besserve

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

In recent years, many methods have been developed for detecting causal relationships in observational data. Some of them have the potential to tackle large data sets. However, these methods fail to discover a combined cause, i.e. a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-10-16 Saisai Ma , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Identifying the causal structure of systems with multiple dynamic elements is critical to several scientific disciplines. The conventional approach is to conduct statistical tests of causality, for example with Granger Causality, between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Jacek P. Dmochowski

This paper discusses different needs and approaches to establishing ``causation'' that are relevant in legal cases involving statistical input based on epidemiological (or more generally observational or population-based) information. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-09-29 K. Mengersen , S. A. Moynihan , R. L. Tweedie

We investigate the problem of inferring the causal predictors of a response $Y$ from a set of $d$ explanatory variables $(X^1,\dots,X^d)$. Classical ordinary least squares regression includes all predictors that reduce the variance of $Y$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-29 Niklas Pfister , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters

Linear causal disentanglement is a recent method in causal representation learning to describe a collection of observed variables via latent variables with causal dependencies between them. It can be viewed as a generalization of both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Paula Leyes Carreno , Chiara Meroni , Anna Seigal